

November 10, 2023
California housing affordability dials back to hit 16-year nadir
as interest rates surge to two-decade high in Q3 2023, C.A.R. reports
LOS ANGELES (Nov. 10) – With borrowing costs reaching all-time highs and home prices continuing to climb, California housing affordability dialed back for the second straight quarter and dropped to the lowest level since 2007, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
Fewer than one in five (15 percent) home buyers could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in third-quarter 2023, down from 16 percent in the second quarter of 2023 and down from 18 percent in the third quarter of 2022, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). The third-quarter 2023 figure is less than a third of the affordability index peak high of 56 percent in the first quarter of 2012.
C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.
A minimum annual income of $221,200 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $843,600 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the third quarter of 2023. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance (PITI) on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $5,530, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 7.14 percent.
This marked the first time the effective interest rate jumped above 7 percent in more than two decades. The effective composite interest rate was 6.61 percent in second-quarter 2023 and 5.72 percent in third-quarter 2022. Interest rates appear to have peaked, and further economic slowdown could result in further rate drops before the end of the year. The rate decline should alleviate pressure on both the supply and demand sides of the housing market, which could help improve housing affordability in the coming quarters.
The median price of condominiums and townhomes in California declined from a year ago but was up from the previous quarter. As a result, the share of households that could afford a typical condo/townhome in third-quarter 2023 dipped from the 25 percent recorded in the previous quarter and was down from the 28 percent recorded in the third quarter of 2022. An annual income of $170,400 was required to make the monthly payment of $4,260 on the $650,000 median-priced condo/townhome in the third quarter of 2023.
Compared with California, more than a third of the nation's households could afford to purchase a $406,900 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $106,800 to make monthly payments of $2,670. Nationwide affordability was down from 39 percent a year ago.
Key points from the third-quarter 2023 Housing Affordability report include:
See C.A.R.'s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 117 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 200,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
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CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Third quarter 2023
|
3rd Quarter 2023 |
C.A.R. Traditional Housing Affordability Index |
|||||||
|
STATE/REGION/COUNTY |
Qtr. 3 2023 |
Qtr. 2 2023 |
|
Qtr. 3 2022 |
|
Median Home Price |
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance |
Minimum Qualifying Income |
|
Calif. Single-family home |
15 |
16 |
|
18 |
|
$843,600 |
$5,530 |
$221,200 |
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
23 |
25 |
|
28 |
r |
$650,000 |
$4,260 |
$170,400 |
|
Los Angeles Metro Area |
14 |
17 |
|
19 |
|
$789,000 |
$5,170 |
$206,800 |
|
Inland Empire |
20 |
22 |
|
25 |
|
$565,000 |
$3,700 |
$148,000 |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
19 |
19 |
|
20 |
|
$1,275,000 |
$8,350 |
$334,000 |
|
United States |
34 |
36 |
|
39 |
|
$406,900 |
$2,670 |
$106,800 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
16 |
16 |
|
17 |
|
$1,275,000 |
$8,350 |
$334,000 |
|
Contra Costa |
22 |
23 |
|
26 |
r |
$870,000 |
$5,700 |
$228,000 |
|
Marin |
18 |
16 |
|
18 |
|
$1,590,000 |
$10,410 |
$416,400 |
|
Napa |
15 |
19 |
|
14 |
r |
$942,500 |
$6,170 |
$246,800 |
|
San Francisco |
21 |
20 |
|
20 |
|
$1,550,000 |
$10,150 |
$406,000 |
|
San Mateo |
17 |
17 |
|
19 |
|
$1,970,000 |
$12,900 |
$516,000 |
|
Santa Clara |
17 |
18 |
|
20 |
|
$1,850,000 |
$12,120 |
$484,800 |
|
Solano |
24 |
26 |
|
29 |
r |
$595,000 |
$3,900 |
$156,000 |
|
Sonoma |
15 |
16 |
|
19 |
|
$850,000 |
$5,570 |
$222,800 |
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
11 |
15 |
|
14 |
|
$897,610 |
$5,880 |
$235,200 |
|
Orange |
11 |
12 |
|
13 |
|
$1,305,000 |
$8,550 |
$342,000 |
|
Riverside |
19 |
20 |
|
23 |
|
$610,000 |
$4,000 |
$160,000 |
|
San Bernardino |
25 |
30 |
|
31 |
|
$485,000 |
$3,180 |
$127,200 |
|
San Diego |
11 |
13 |
|
15 |
|
$978,500 |
$6,410 |
$256,400 |
|
Ventura |
13 |
14 |
|
17 |
|
$925,000 |
$6,060 |
$242,400 |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
9 |
12 |
|
13 |
|
$918,000 |
$6,010 |
$240,400 |
|
San Luis Obispo |
10 |
11 |
|
13 |
|
$865,000 |
$5,670 |
$226,800 |
|
Santa Barbara |
10 |
10 |
|
12 |
|
$1,090,000 |
$7,140 |
$285,600 |
|
Santa Cruz |
13 |
13 |
|
14 |
|
$1,243,500 |
$8,140 |
$325,600 |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
27 |
29 |
|
32 |
|
$420,000 |
$2,750 |
$110,000 |
|
Glenn |
30 |
32 |
|
34 |
|
$355,000 |
$2,330 |
$93,200 |
|
Kern |
28 |
31 |
|
34 |
|
$390,000 |
$2,550 |
$102,000 |
|
Kings |
27 |
32 |
|
40 |
|
$380,000 |
$2,490 |
$99,600 |
|
Madera |
29 |
31 |
|
34 |
|
$425,000 |
$2,780 |
$111,200 |
|
Merced |
30 |
31 |
|
34 |
|
$386,000 |
$2,530 |
$101,200 |
|
Placer |
27 |
29 |
|
30 |
|
$665,000 |
$4,360 |
$174,400 |
|
Sacramento |
23 |
26 |
|
29 |
|
$542,000 |
$3,550 |
$142,000 |
|
San Benito |
16 |
19 |
|
20 |
|
$753,750 |
$4,940 |
$197,600 |
|
San Joaquin |
23 |
26 |
|
27 |
r |
$545,000 |
$3,570 |
$142,800 |
|
Stanislaus |
24 |
27 |
|
30 |
|
$468,100 |
$3,070 |
$122,800 |
|
Tulare |
30 |
33 |
|
36 |
|
$375,000 |
$2,460 |
$98,400 |
|
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
28 |
29 |
|
30 |
|
$430,710 |
$2,820 |
$112,800 |
|
Lassen |
58 |
52 |
|
56 |
|
$212,500 |
$1,390 |
$55,600 |
|
Plumas |
31 |
38 |
|
28 |
|
$409,500 |
$2,680 |
$107,200 |
|
Shasta |
35 |
35 |
|
39 |
|
$379,250 |
$2,480 |
$99,200 |
|
Siskiyou |
34 |
39 |
|
31 |
|
$300,000 |
$1,960 |
$78,400 |
|
Tehama |
39 |
35 |
|
39 |
|
$315,000 |
$2,060 |
$82,400 |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
26 |
28 |
|
34 |
|
$460,000 |
$3,010 |
$120,400 |
|
Calaveras |
27 |
27 |
|
32 |
|
$483,000 |
$3,160 |
$126,400 |
|
Del Norte |
28 |
30 |
|
27 |
|
$377,500 |
$2,470 |
$98,800 |
|
El Dorado |
23 |
23 |
|
27 |
|
$665,000 |
$4,360 |
$174,400 |
|
Humboldt |
23 |
25 |
|
23 |
|
$437,500 |
$2,870 |
$114,800 |
|
Lake |
30 |
28 |
|
33 |
|
$320,000 |
$2,100 |
$84,000 |
|
Mariposa |
16 |
24 |
|
21 |
|
$464,500 |
$3,040 |
$121,600 |
|
Mendocino |
15 |
17 |
|
18 |
|
$527,500 |
$3,460 |
$138,400 |
|
Mono |
5 |
5 |
|
8 |
|
$940,000 |
$6,160 |
$246,400 |
|
Nevada |
23 |
25 |
|
25 |
|
$563,150 |
$3,690 |
$147,600 |
|
Sutter |
31 |
33 |
|
32 |
|
$425,000 |
$2,780 |
$111,200 |
|
Tuolumne |
31 |
32 |
|
35 |
|
$415,000 |
$2,720 |
$108,800 |
|
Yolo |
23 |
23 |
|
25 |
r |
$620,000 |
$4,060 |
$162,400 |
|
Yuba |
26 |
|
|
29 |
|
$426,950 |
$2,800 |
$112,000 |
r = revised
Traditional Housing Affordability Indices (HAI) were calculated based on the following effective composite interest rates: 7.14% (3Qtr. 2023), 6.61% (2Qtr. 2023) and 5.72% (3Qtr. 2022).
Published 3:40 a.m. ET Oct. 30, 2023
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The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is 8.21%, and on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage, it's 7.29%. The average rate on a 30-year jumbo mortgage is 8.06%.
*Data accurate as of October 27, 2023, the latest data available.
The average mortgage rate for 30-year fixed loans fell today to 8.21% from 8.25% last week, according to data from Curinos. This is up from last month's 7.90% and up from a year ago when it was 5.99%.
At the current 30-year fixed rate, you'll pay about $752 each month for every $100,000 you borrow — down from about $754 last week.
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The mortgage rates for 15-year fixed loans inched down today to 7.29% from 7.36% last week. Today's rate is up from last month's 7.13% and up from a year ago when it was 5.42%.
At the current 15-year fixed rate, you'll pay about $917 each month for every $100,000 you borrow, down from about $921 last week.
The mortgage rates for 30-year jumbo loans fell today to 8.06% from 8.12% last week. This is up from last month's 7.69% and up from 5.77% last year.
At the current 30-year jumbo rate, you'll pay around $742 each month for every $100,000 you borrow, down from about $746 last week.
To determine average mortgage rates, Curinos uses a standardized set of parameters. For conventional mortgages, the calculations are based on an owner-occupied, one-unit property with a loan amount of $350,000. For jumbo mortgages, the loan amount is $750,000. These calculations assume an 80% loan-to-value ratio, a credit score of 740 or higher and a 60-day lock period.
On May 3, 2023, the Federal Reserve announced a third interest rate hike for the year — this time by 25 basis points. While the Fed doesn't set mortgage rates, this increase in the federal funds rate could lead individual lenders to raise their home loan rates, too.
If you already have a mortgage, how this could affect your monthly payment will depend on if your loan has a fixed or adjustable rate. A fixed rate stays the same over the life of the loan, meaning your payments will never change. An adjustable rate, however, can fluctuate according to market conditions — which means you could see a rise in your monthly payments.
For example, if you take out an ARM for $250,000 with an interest rate of 5.5%, your initial monthly payments would be $1,719. But after the initial period is over, and the ARM switches to a variable rate, your payments could increase if the rate rises. If the rate rose just 25 basis points (5.75%), for instance, your payments would increase to $1,750.
For release:
October 9, 2023
California REALTORS® provide additional funding for closing cost grants to underserved first-time homebuyers
LOS ANGELES (Oct. 9) – In a continuing effort to address California's growing housing affordability crisis and racial homeownership divide, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®' (C.A.R.) Housing Affordability Fund (HAF) will provide another $500,000 in closing cost assistance for eligible first-time California homebuyers from an underserved community, C.A.R. announced today.
The additional amount brings the total to $2 million in grants for the Pathway to Homeownership grant program in support of the Association's Fair Housing and Diversity efforts. Since 20...
A lender is an individual, a group (public or private), or a financial institutionthat makes funds available to a person or business with the expectation that the funds will be repaid. Repayment will include the payment of any interest or fees.1 Repayment may occur in increments (as in a monthly mortgage payment) or as a lump sum. One of the largest loans consumers take out from lenders is a mortgage.2
Lenders provide funds for a variety of reasons, such as a home mortgage, an automobile loan, or a small business loan. The terms of the loan specify how it must be satisfied (e.g., the repayment period) and the consequences of missing payments and default. A lender may go to a collection agency to recover any funds that are past due.
Qualifying for a loan depends largely on the borrower's credit history. The lender examines the borrower's credit report, which details the names of other lenders extending credit (current and previous), the types of credit extended, the borrower's repayment history, and more. The report helps the lender determine whether—based on current employment and income—the borrower would be comfortable managing an additional loan payment. As part of their decision about creditworthiness, lenders may also use the Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) score in the borrower's credit report.3
The lender may also evaluate the borrower's debt-to-income (DTI) ratio—which compares current and new debt to before-tax income—to determine the borrower's ability to pay.4
When applying for a secured loan, such as an auto loan or a home equity line of credit (HELOC), the borrower pledges collateral. The lender will make an evaluation of the collateral's full value and subtract any existing debt secured by that collateral from its value. The remaining value of the collateral will be the equity that affects the lending decision (i.e., the amount of money that the lender could recoup if the asset were liquidated).3
The lender also evaluates a borrower's available capital, which includes savings, investments, and other assets that could be used to repay the loan if income is ever cut due to a job loss or other financial challenge. The lender may ask what the borrower plans to do with the loan, such as use it to purchase a vehicle or other property. Other factors may also be considered, such as environmental or economic conditions.3
Different lenders have different rules and procedures for business borrowers.
Banks, savings and loans, and credit unions that offer Small Business Administration (SBA) loans must adhere to the guidelines of that program.
Private institutions, angel investors, and venture capitalists lend money based on their own criteria. These lenders will also look at the purpose of the business, the character of the business owner, the location of business operations, and the projected annual sales and growth for the business.5
Small-business owners prove their ability for loan repayment by providing lenders both personal and business balance sheets. The balance sheets detail assets, liabilities, and the net worth of the business and the individual. Although business owners may propose a repayment plan, the lender has the final say on the terms.
One good lender option for small business borrowers is the Small Business Administration (SBA), a U.S. government agency that promotes the economy by assisting small businesses with loans and advocacy. The SBA has a websiteand at least one office in every state.
The three most common options for borrowers seeking a mortgage lender are mortgage brokers, direct lenders (e.g., banks and credit unions), and secondary market lenders (e.g., Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac).
Getting a mortgage when you have bad credit is possible, but a larger down payment, mortgage insurance, and a higher interest rate will likely be required.
When you need to borrow money for a personal purchase or jumpstart your business, there are many options. When choosing a lender, look at their reputation and longevity—banks and other financial institutions are the traditional choices, but angel investors and online micro-lenders are gaining popularity. Before borrowing, make sure you understand the full breadth of your loan agreement and can afford to repay it.