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September
14

For release:
August 11, 2022

 California housing affordability slides to lowest level in nearly 15 years in second-quarter 2022 as home prices set record highs and interest rates surge, C.A.R. reports

  • Sixteen percent of California households could afford to purchase the $883,370 median-priced home in the second quarter of 2022, down from 24 percent in first-quarter 2022 and down from 23 percent in second-quarter 2021.

  • A minimum annual income of $199,200 was needed to make monthly payments of $4,980, including principal, interest and taxes on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at a 5.39 percent interest rate.

  • One-fourth of California home buyers were able to purchase the $677,000 median-priced condo or townhome. A minimum annual income of $152,800 was required to make a monthly payment of $3,820.
  • Infographic: https://www.car.org/Global/Infographics/HAI-2022-Q2

LOS ANGELES (Aug. 11) – Housing affordability in California fell below 20 percent and slid to the lowest level in nearly 15 years as home prices soared to record highs in April and May and interest rates jumped to levels not seen in more than 13 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in second-quarter 2022 slid to 16 percent from 24 percent in the first quarter of 2022 and was down from 23 percent in the second quarter of 2021, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). California hit a peak high affordability index of 56 percent in the first quarter of 2012.

C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.

A minimum annual income of $199,200 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $883,370 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the second quarter of 2022. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $4,980, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 5.39 percent. The effective composite interest rate was 3.97 percent in first-quarter 2022 and 3.20 percent in second-quarter 2021. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit the highest level in more than 13 years in June as the Federal Reserve continued to raise rates aggressively in the second quarter.

With the median price of condominiums and townhomes reaching another record high in second-quarter 2022, affordability for condos and townhomes fell from the previous quarter. Twenty-five percent of California households earned the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $677,000 median-priced condo/townhome in the second quarter of 2022, which required an annual income of $152,800 to make monthly payments of $3,820. The second quarter 2022 figure was down from 37 percent a year ago.

Nationwide housing affordability also plunged in second-quarter 2022. Compared with California, nearly four in ten (38 percent) of the nation's households could afford to purchase a $413,500 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $93,200 to make monthly payments of $2,330. Nationwide affordability was a revised 49 percent a year ago.

Key points from the second-quarter 2022 Housing Affordability report include:

  • Compared to the previous quarter, housing affordability in the second quarter of 2022 declined in all but two of 51 counties. Affordability remained level in Glenn and Santa Cruz counties.
  • In the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area, affordability declined from the previous quarter in all counties. Alameda County and Napa tied for the least affordable Bay Area counties, at just 15 percent of households able to purchase the $1,500,000 and $1,005,000 median-priced home, respectively. Twenty-eight percent of Solano County households could afford the $625,000 median-priced home, making it the most affordable Bay Area county.

  • In the Southern California region, housing affordability deteriorated in all counties. Orange County was the least affordable at 12 percent, while San Bernardino County was the most affordable at 30 percent of households able to purchase the $493,000 median-priced home.

     

  • In the Central Valley region, Kings County was the most affordable at 39 percent, and San Benito was the least affordable at 17 percent.

  • In the Central Coast region, Santa Barbara County was the least affordable at 10 percent, and Monterey and Santa Cruz tied for the most affordable at 13 percent.

     

  • For the state as a whole, Lassen (54 percent) remained the most affordable county in California in the second quarter of 2022, followed by Kings (39 percent), Glenn (36 percent) and Shasta (36 percent). Lassen County also required the lowest minimum qualifying income ($58,800) of all counties in California to purchase a median-priced home and was the only county in the state with a minimum required income less than $60,000.

     

  • Mono (6 percent), Santa Barbara (10 percent), San Luis Obispo (12 percent) and Orange (12 percent) were the least affordable counties in California, with each requiring at least a minimum income of $202,800 to purchase a median-priced home in the county. San Mateo required the highest minimum qualifying income to buy a median-priced home, surpassing the $500,000 benchmark for the first time to reach a record high of $512,000. Three other counties in California requiring a minimum qualifying income of over $400,000 in second-quarter 2022 were San Francisco ($450,800), Marin ($434,800) and Santa Clara ($428,400).

     

  • Housing affordability declined the most on a year-over-year basis in Kings, dropping 17.1 points from the previous year. Mariposa (14.8 points) and Siskiyou (14.4 points) had the second and the third largest year-over-year dips in the latest quarter. Like the rest of the state, interest rate and home price surges from a year ago were the primary factors that led to the sharp drop in affordability in these counties.

See C.A.R.'s historical housing affordability data.

See first-time buyer housing affordability data.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 217,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

 

# # #

 

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Second quarter 2022

 

Second quarter 2022

C.A.R. Traditional Housing Affordability Index

STATE/REGION/COUNTY

Qtr. 2

2022

Qtr. 1

2022

 

Qtr. 2

2021

Median Home Price

Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance

Minimum Qualifying Income

Calif. Single-family home

16

24

 

23

 

$883,370

$4,980

$199,200

Calif. Condo/Townhome

25

32

 

37

 

$677,000

$3,820

$152,800

Los Angeles Metro Area

17

24

 

24

 

$800,000

$4,510

$180,400

Inland Empire

24

31

 

36

 

$585,000

$3,300

$132,000

San Francisco Bay Area

18

20

 

19

 

$1,495,000

$8,430

$337,200

United States

38

47

 

49

r

$413,500

$2,330

$93,200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Francisco Bay Area

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alameda

15

17

 

18

 

$1,500,000

$8,460

$338,400

Contra Costa

22

30

 

26

 

$1,001,080

$5,640

$225,600

Marin

17

21

 

21

 

$1,928,000

$10,870

$434,800

Napa

15

20

 

23

 

$1,005,000

$5,670

$226,800

San Francisco

17

20

 

19

 

$2,000,000

$11,270

$450,800

San Mateo

15

18

 

17

 

$2,270,000

$12,800

$512,000

Santa Clara

18

20

 

21

 

$1,900,000

$10,710

$428,400

Solano

28

37

 

40

 

$625,000

$3,520

$140,800

Sonoma

17

23

 

25

 

$865,500

$4,880

$195,200

Southern California

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Los Angeles

16

20

 

22

 

$825,650

$4,650

$186,000

Orange

12

13

 

17

 

$1,300,000

$7,330

$293,200

Riverside

21

28

 

33

 

$640,000

$3,610

$144,400

San Bernardino

30

39

 

43

 

$493,000

$2,780

$111,200

San Diego

14

19

 

22

 

$965,870

$5,450

$218,000

Ventura

15

21

 

23

 

$939,000

$5,290

$211,600

Central Coast

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monterey

13

16

 

18

 

$875,000

$4,930

$197,200

San Luis Obispo

12

18

 

21

 

$900,000

$5,070

$202,800

Santa Barbara

10

12

 

13

 

$1,162,500

$6,550

$262,000

Santa Cruz

13

13

 

15

 

$1,350,000

$7,610

$304,400

Central Valley

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fresno

31

37

 

43

 

$424,500

$2,390

$95,600

Glenn

36

36

 

45

 

$325,500

$1,830

$73,200

Kern

32

38

 

45

 

$385,000

$2,170

$86,800

Kings

39

51

 

56

 

$357,700

$2,020

$80,800

Madera

32

38

 

44

 

$420,140

$2,370

$94,800

Merced

34

40

 

44

 

$400,000

$2,250

$90,000

Placer

27

34

 

35

 

$725,000

$4,090

$163,600

Sacramento

27

34

 

38

 

$570,000

$3,210

$128,400

San Benito

17

24

 

25

 

$859,000

$4,840

$193,600

San Joaquin

26

34

 

37

 

$560,000

$3,160

$126,400

Stanislaus

28

36

 

40

 

$480,000

$2,710

$108,400

Tulare

34

41

 

45

 

$371,000

$2,090

$83,600

Far North

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Butte

28

33

 

33

 

$465,000

$2,620

$104,800

Lassen

54

61

 

62

 

$260,000

$1,470

$58,800

Plumas

32

36

 

39

 

$424,000

$2,390

$95,600

Shasta

36

42

 

45

 

$395,000

$2,230

$89,200

Siskiyou

30

42

 

44

 

$366,000

$2,060

$82,400

Tehama

33

35

 

38

 

$347,500

$1,960

$78,400

Other Calif. Counties

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amador

32

40

 

40

 

$440,000

$2,480

$99,200

Calaveras

29

35

 

37

 

$500,000

$2,820

$112,800

Del Norte

31

32

 

35

 

$350,000

$1,970

$78,800

El Dorado

24

29

 

31

 

$720,000

$4,060

$162,400

Humboldt

24

30

 

32

 

$451,500

$2,550

$102,000

Lake

33

38

 

43

 

$349,000

$1,970

$78,800

Mariposa

22

29

 

36

 

$460,000

$2,590

$103,600

Mendocino

15

24

 

23

 

$580,000

$3,270

$130,800

Mono

6

7

 

9

 

$956,500

$5,390

$215,600

Nevada

25

33

 

34

 

$590,000

$3,330

$133,200

Sutter

31

39

 

40

 

$450,000

$2,540

$101,600

Tuolumne

33

38

 

44

 

$435,000

$2,450

$98,000

Yolo

23

28

 

32

 

$655,000

$3,690

$147,600

Yuba

27

33

 

39

 

$445,000

$2,510

$100,400

r = revised

article belongs to CAR.org

August
17

CALIFORNIA DIVIDE

California legislators want to help you buy a house with down payment, 'shared equity'

Aralyn Tucker outside of her condo in Natomas on June 11, 2022. Photo by Julie Hotz for CalMatters

IN SUMMARY

Legislators propose a $1-billion-a-year down payment program for first-time buyers, given the high cost of housing and rising mortgage interest rates, in exchange for a partial stake.

Lea este artículo en español.

First-time buyers often rely on family gifts to afford the down payments on their homes. Now California Legislators want the government to fill the role of generous relative.

Lawmakers are proposing creating a billion-dollar fund in this year's state budget that would provide California's first-time buyers either all of the money they need for a down payment, or very close to it, in exchange for partial ownership stakes in those residences.

The proposal, put forward by state Senate President Pro Tem Toni Atkins, comes as skyrocketing property prices broaden the divide between those who own their homes and those who rent in California. In the past year, Golden State homeowners gained $141,000 in home equity, on average, the housing research firm CoreLogic reported last week, more than in any other state.

California's rate of home ownership, at 56%, is second lowest in the country behind New York, according to the American Community Survey data from the census. 

Atkins said the California Dream for All program is aimed at creating opportunities for lower- and middle-income buyers in a rapidly rising market, including those who have faced racial and economic barriers to homeownership.

"The California Dream for All program will give more people the chance to break free from the cycle of renting," Atkins said last month. "This has the ability to change people's lives."

The proposal is the subject of negotiations between the Legislature's Democratic supermajority and Gov. Gavin Newsom, also a Democrat, on how to spend a projected budget surplus of $97.5 billion. The legislature passed a budget on Monday that includes the proposal, though negotiations with Newsom continue on a final overall spending plan. 

A spokesman for the governor declined to comment on the proposal, citing the ongoing negotiations. It was not included in the governor's original budget nor in his May revised budget.

A multi-billion dollar fund

The housing proposal – which would call for issuing revenue bonds of $1 billion a year for 10 years to create the fund — is the largest in a slew of proposals intended to promote homeownership this year. The proposal also includes $50 million in the budget this year, and $150 million per year after that to pay for the administrative costs of the program and the interest costs of the revenue bonds.

The program envisions helping some 7,700 borrowers a year, according to estimates made by the program's designers based on home price projections. A start date for the proposed program has not been indicated.

If approved, the program would begin issuing interest-free second mortgage loans covering up to 30% of a home's purchase price, though lawmakers expect many of the loans would cover 17%, asking borrowers to include 3% of their own money or pair the loan with other first-time buyer programs.

The interest-free loans would be paid back into a state fund whenever the home was sold, or if a bigger mortgage was acquired in a cash-out refinancing. For instance, if the fund provided 20% toward the purchase price of the home, the fund would get back its initial investment, as well as a 20% share of any increase in the home's value. 

The program would reinvest those proceeds, giving the fund the ability to make new loans for eligible participants, even if prices have risen significantly.

As long as home prices rise, the plan would create equity for people who otherwise would have remained renters. The program also would generate enough returns for the state to help future homebuyers. 

If prices fall, homeowners might still gain some equity and the fund would absorb the losses, program planners said.

Building generational wealth

The program is intended to build as much flexibility as possible. Buyers who have lived in historically low-income neighborhoods can receive priority for some of the funds and can use shared appreciation loans to buy in their current neighborhoods or buy homes elsewhere.

"We need to make sure that the state's homeownership assistance program serves people in all parts of the state, including in its high cost areas," said Micah Weinberg, chief executive of the nonprofit group California Forward, which oversaw drafting the proposal.

"We cannot wait until more housing is built for these communities to begin to build the generational wealth that they were locked out of and deeply deserve," he said during a recent legislative hearing.

The program would be open to buyers making less than 150% of the median income in their area, and it would target first-generation homebuyers as well as those with high student debt loads.

If approved, the program would significantly improve home affordability in California for the people awarded one of the loans, proponents say. If it had existed in 2021, for instance, it would have reduced the annual income needed to buy a median priced home of $786,000 by more than $30,000 to about $90,000, according to Kate Owens, a principal at HR&A Advisors, Inc., one of the economic consulting firms hired to devise the program.

The program is distinct from other down payment assistance programs in that most offer much smaller payments, often around 3% to 5% of the purchase price, in the form of grants or loans.

The proposed state fund allows homeowners to not put down a down payment, eliminating the need to save for that initial investment, which Atkins said is the biggest hurdle for many buyers in today's market.

These equity sharing arrangements often are referred to as shared appreciation mortgages. The California plan would be the largest attempted experiment with such home loans ever created in the U.S., designers of the program said.

Fewer can afford homes

Over a 40-year period the program could assist some 157,000 families with interest-free loans, said Gene Slater, chairman of CSG Advisors, another consultancy hired to design the program. 

Lawmakers said they are trying to do more to support homeownership, especially now that the pandemic has spurred demand for single-family properties as remote workers seek more space, and as communities throughout the state are falling woefully short of homebuilding goals.

"Until California truly prioritizes affordable homeownership, a generation of Californians will be effectively barred from one of the most reliable forms of wealth generation available — owning a home," said Assemblymember Tim Grayson, a Democrat from Concord, in April.

Learn more about legislators mentioned in this story

D

TIM GRAYSON

State Assembly, District 14 (Concord)

D

TONI ATKINS

State Senate, District 39 (San Diego)

California's home price increases mean affordability has plummeted, even more so for Black and Latino families. Only 26% of California households overall earned the minimum annual income needed to buy a median-priced, single-family home last year. Just 17% of Black and Latino households could afford such a property, according to a report by the California Association of Realtors, which supports the creation of the down payment fund.

"Homeownership provides working families with the unparalleled ability to accrue generational wealth and experience financial stability through a fixed mortgage versus rising rents," said the California Homeownership Coalition, a group that includes the Realtors, the California Building Industry Association and Habitat for Humanity.

"These funding solutions are especially important for communities of color still facing disproportionately low homeownership rates because of decades-long discriminatory housing practices."

Potential complications

Richard Green, director of the University of Southern California's Lusk Center for Real Estate, put forward a competing research proposal that was not selected by the state. He supports the goals of the one under consideration but is concerned about how complicated it is.

"There are lots of things in life where the policy idea is great (but) executing it is hard," he said, adding that while the program would only be a fraction of the state's massive housing market, it could contribute to rising prices if it got bigger. "If this program scales it would almost certainly have at least some impact."

Andrew Caplin, a professor at New York University who wrote a book on shared equity programs, said he is eager to see the concept take off, but he has largely promoted the idea for private investors, not governments.

Caplin did not study the California plan, but he said he would be concerned that politicians might feel pressured to not demand repayment and "in the end, it will all be agreed that we can't really collect the money — like student loans."

Someone else's mortgage

Had it been in existence, the program could have helped a homebuyer such as Aralyn Tucker, 29, who moved to Sacramento in 2017 because she was priced out of the housing market of her hometown of San Jose. 

Tucker, who has a master's degree in public policy and administration from Sacramento State University, works in human resources at a private school. She was only able to afford a two-bedroom condominium in Sacramento after her parents contributed most of the down payment as a gift.

Buying a home was important, she said, because her family had moved at least four times before she turned 18, at times into unstable housing situations.

"Creating that generational wealth and creating that security has been really important to my parents," she said.

Down payment help was critical, because her mortgage payment is only $200 more than rent, she said, but she couldn't save for the down payment on her own. 

"Folks in my generation, we have so many extra expenses that we're not able to set that  cash aside as a down payment," she said.

"Here I am making enough money to afford $2,200 in rent each month that I paid on time every month, and yet, I wouldn't qualify for a mortgage because I don't have the down payment," she said. "We're constantly behind and we're paying into a system that doesn't give anything back to us regarding equity. I'm paying someone else's mortgage."

This article is part of the California Divide project, a collaboration among newsrooms examining income inequality and economic survival in California.

MORE ON HOUSING

WE WANT TO HEAR FROM YOU

Want to submit a guest commentary or reaction to an article we wrote? You can find our submission guidelines here. Please contact CalMatters with any commentary questions: commentary@calmatters.org

Alejandro Lazo

Alejandro joined CalMatters from The Wall Street Journal, where he covered the West Coast for eight years. He previously wrote about housing and real estate for the Los Angeles Times and The Washington...

August
17

CAC FIELD DAY TO DISCUSS GEM HIGH DENSITY, AVOCADO ROOTSTOCKS AND ORONDIS USE

  • Jul 18, 2022

The California Avocado Commission will host a Pine Tree Ranch Field Day on Tuesday, July 26 from 8:00 – 10:00 a.m. that will feature three informational sessions.

One session will be led by Dr. Ben Faber, UC Farm Advisor, who will showcase the GEM high density trial that is now 1-year-old. Ben will discuss how the trees have performed in the first year and compare and contrast the GEM variety and Hass.

Dr. Mary Lu Arpaia will share updated data concerning the rootstock trial taking place at Pine Tree Ranch, which includes 300 trees on 30 different rootstocks from the UC breeding program, Westfalia and Israel.

In addition, Dakota Camino with Syngenta Crop Protection will discuss the use of Orondis for control of...

Click Here to Read More...

August
17

As the California legislature closes out the 2020-2022 legislative session, which concludes at the end of this month, C.A.R. is strongly opposing two bills currently before the legislature — SB 1105 (Hueso) and SB 679 (Kamlager). Both bills create housing agencies with the power to impose a range of new property taxes on homeowners. SB 1105 is particularly concerning as it grants an unelected six-member body broad power to unilaterally raise a very wide range of taxes on homeowners and real property generally. 

C.A.R. obviously does not oppose the creation of housing, but local government can already pursue projects to build and promote housing and even raise taxes, so these unelected agencies are duplicative, costly, and harmful to property owners. The taxes that the agencies could impose would make owning a home more expensive in a time of serious economic stress and rising pric...

Click Here to Read More...

August
5

California state officials in April launched a new program that lets first-time homebuyers borrow a down payment at a 0% interest rate.

The program, the Forgivable Equity Builder Loan, provides forgivable loans to homebuyers for up to 10% of the home's purchase price.

"We have to use every tool in our toolbox to tackle the housing affordability crisis head-on," Gov. Gavin Newsom said in an April statement announcing the program.

ADVERTISING

And the biggest upside? If the homebuyer stays in the home for five years, they won't have to repay the junior loan, according to the California Housing Finance Agency.

Borrowers may, however, have to pay back a portion of the loan if they stay in the home for less than five years, officials said.

The loan has an interest rate of 0%, according to the California Housing Finance Agency.

"Interest rates on the CalHFA first mortgage will vary depending on your financial circumstances, lender fees, and other factors. Interest rates can also change daily. We recommend that you check with a Preferred Loan Officer to receive an accurate rate quote for this program," the Housing Finance Agency website states.

State officials said the goal of the program is to give first-time homebuyers a head start with immediate equity, which will help Californians build and pass on intergenerational wealth.

The help comes as California's median home prices soar to new highs and interest rates reach their highest levels in more than two years.

Just 24% of California households could afford to purchase the $797,000 median-priced home during the first quarter of 2022 — down from 27% in the first quarter 2021, according to the California Association of Realtors.

"Owning a home represents belonging, stability and has long been recognized as one of the best ways to build wealth, but for far too many Californians the dream of home ownership remains just out of reach," said Business, Consumer Services and Housing Agency Secretary Lourdes Castro Ramírez.

The loan is available to Californians whose income is less than 80% of the Area Median Income in the county where the property is located.

That means the income limit will be different based on where people want to buy a house.

So for example, a Sacramento family can make up to $72,700 and qualify for the loan, while in Santa Clara County, the limit is $118,960.

In Los Angeles County, people would need to make no more than $68,880 to qualify for the program, according to the Fannie Mae Lookup Tool.

The loan can be used for down payment or closing costs, officials said.

Other borrower requirements

  • Be a first-time homebuyer
  • Use the property as a primary residence
  • Complete homebuyer education counseling and get a certificate of completion through an eligible homebuyer counseling organization.

Any requirements for the type of home you need a loan for?

It has to be a single-family, one-unit residence. (That includes approved condominium/PUDs.)

How to apply

Families who think they're eligible and want to apply can click Find a Loan Officer and contact one in their area.

When contacting the loan officer, you will need to have these documents handy to answer questions:

  • Pay stubs
  • Bank statements
  • Employment history
  • Previous tax returns

More information on the program can be found here.

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