

California home sales decline in January to lowest level since May 2025
amid 23-month price low, C.A.R. reports
SACRAMENTO (Feb. 18) – California home sales retreated in January to their lowest level since May 2025 as home prices fell to a 23-month low, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
Infographic: https://www.car.org/Global/Infographics/2026-01-Sales-and-Price
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California reached a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 256,550 in January, according to data collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. This annualized figure reflects the number of homes that would be sold in 2026 if January's sales pace continued throughout the year, with adjustments made for typical seasonal patterns. January sales were down 10.8 percent from a downwardly revised 287,570 in December and down 1.3 percent in January 2025.
The decline extends the streak of sub-300,000 seasonally adjusted annualized sales to 40 consecutive months, underscoring the ongoing market weakness in the last few years. However, a stronger than typical monthly increase in pending sales suggests that closed sales could rebound in February, especially since mortgage rates have recently declined nearly back to their recent lows.
Statewide pending home sales increased from both the prior month and January 2025. On a month-to-month basis, pending sales jumped 34.6 percent, as mortgage rates dropped sharply in the second week of January before bouncing back towards the end of the month.
"After closing out 2025 on a strong note, California's housing market has started the new year on a softer footing, with both sales and prices coming in below last year's levels," said 2026 C.A.R. President Tamara Suminski, a Southern California broker and REALTOR®. "However, as mortgage rates ease toward recent lows and housing supply is expected to improve in the coming weeks, we anticipate momentum to build as the market heads into the spring homebuying season."
California's median home price declined in January from both the prior month and year ago, falling to a 23-month low of $823,180 as market competition remained cool at the start of the year. The statewide median price dropped 3.2 percent from December, nearly double the long-run average of 1.7 percent observed between December and January. On a year-over-year basis, the median price fell for the third time in the past four months and registered its largest annual price decline since June 2023. Moderating demand and still-elevated inventory levels continued to exert downward pressure on prices in early 2026, indicating that the market is gradually transitioning towards a more balanced supply and demand condition.
"California's housing market pulled back in January as heightened policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions contributed to increased volatility in mortgage rates early in the year," said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. "More recent economic indicators, however, suggest that the broader economy is beginning to stabilize, which should help restore confidence among both buyers and sellers. With pending home sales posting a solid gain last month, we anticipate a rebound in housing market activity in February."
Other key points from C.A.R.'s January 2025 resale housing report include:
Note: The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data is not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home. The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower end or the upper end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold. The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.
*Sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions. The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its original list price and is expressed as a percentage. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.
**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property. It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet. C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 53 counties.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for 120 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with nearly 190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Sacramento.
# # #
January 2026 County Sales and Price Activity
(and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
|
January 2026 |
Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes |
Sales |
|||||||
|
State/Region/County |
Jan. 2026 |
Dec. 2025 |
|
Jan. 2025 |
|
Price MTM% Chg |
Price YTY% Chg |
Sales MTM% Chg |
Sales YTY% Chg |
|
Calif. Single-family home |
$823,180 |
$850,680 |
|
$839,130 |
r |
-3.2% |
-1.9% |
-10.8% |
-1.3% |
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
$625,000 |
$638,000 |
|
$649,000 |
|
-2.0% |
-3.7% |
-29.0% |
-4.0% |
|
Los Angeles Metro Area |
$808,000 |
$807,540 |
|
$820,000 |
|
0.1% |
-1.5% |
-28.8% |
-4.0% |
|
Central Coast |
$1,091,180 |
$997,000 |
|
$1,060,000 |
|
9.4% |
2.9% |
-32.9% |
-5.0% |
|
Central Valley |
$480,000 |
$485,000 |
|
$480,000 |
|
-1.0% |
0.0% |
-30.1% |
-7.6% |
|
Far North |
$379,950 |
$380,000 |
|
$400,000 |
|
0.0% |
-5.0% |
-24.3% |
19.8% |
|
Inland Empire |
$595,000 |
$600,050 |
|
$600,000 |
|
-0.8% |
-0.8% |
-23.6% |
0.7% |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
$1,127,000 |
$1,200,000 |
|
$1,125,000 |
|
-6.1% |
0.2% |
-39.6% |
-7.0% |
|
Southern California |
$845,530 |
$855,000 |
|
$850,500 |
|
-1.1% |
-0.6% |
-27.8% |
-4.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
$1,120,010 |
$1,181,000 |
|
$1,150,000 |
|
-5.2% |
-2.6% |
-39.0% |
1.9% |
|
Contra Costa |
$802,000 |
$839,500 |
|
$785,000 |
|
-4.5% |
2.2% |
-35.2% |
2.4% |
|
Marin |
$1,527,000 |
$1,465,000 |
|
$1,332,500 |
|
4.2% |
14.6% |
-43.4% |
15.4% |
|
Napa |
$1,002,500 |
$930,000 |
|
$917,500 |
|
7.8% |
9.3% |
-43.7% |
-9.1% |
|
San Francisco |
$1,653,320 |
$1,697,500 |
|
$1,432,500 |
|
-2.6% |
15.4% |
-52.5% |
-38.5% |
|
San Mateo |
$2,000,000 |
$2,058,000 |
|
$1,960,000 |
|
-2.8% |
2.0% |
-43.7% |
0.7% |
|
Santa Clara |
$1,807,500 |
$1,830,000 |
|
$1,840,000 |
|
-1.2% |
-1.8% |
-40.0% |
-19.0% |
|
Solano |
$552,500 |
$570,000 |
|
$565,000 |
|
-3.1% |
-2.2% |
-32.0% |
-5.9% |
|
Sonoma |
$799,000 |
$840,000 |
|
$811,470 |
|
-4.9% |
-1.5% |
-42.2% |
-8.6% |
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Imperial |
$455,000 |
$462,950 |
|
$386,750 |
|
-1.7% |
17.6% |
-23.9% |
45.8% |
|
Los Angeles |
$879,720 |
$890,910 |
|
$886,400 |
|
-1.3% |
-0.8% |
-34.7% |
-8.5% |
|
Orange |
$1,410,000 |
$1,390,000 |
|
$1,430,000 |
|
1.4% |
-1.4% |
-24.8% |
-3.4% |
|
Riverside |
$639,440 |
$635,000 |
|
$645,000 |
|
0.7% |
-0.9% |
-26.7% |
-9.0% |
|
San Bernardino |
$500,990 |
$500,970 |
|
$505,000 |
|
0.0% |
-0.8% |
-13.5% |
25.1% |
|
San Diego |
$1,050,000 |
$1,000,000 |
|
$1,030,000 |
|
5.0% |
1.9% |
-23.8% |
-7.3% |
|
Ventura |
$917,500 |
$913,000 |
|
$875,000 |
|
0.5% |
4.9% |
-27.9% |
-2.4% |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
$998,750 |
$900,000 |
|
$965,000 |
|
11.0% |
3.5% |
-35.5% |
-22.8% |
|
San Luis Obispo |
$950,000 |
$905,000 |
|
$920,000 |
|
5.0% |
3.3% |
-30.4% |
9.6% |
|
Santa Barbara |
$1,475,000 |
$1,128,500 |
|
$1,550,010 |
|
30.7% |
-4.8% |
-24.7% |
8.4% |
|
Santa Cruz |
$1,237,500 |
$1,287,500 |
|
$1,199,500 |
|
-3.9% |
3.2% |
-45.6% |
-17.6% |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
$429,900 |
$415,000 |
|
$426,690 |
|
3.6% |
0.8% |
-33.0% |
-13.3% |
|
Glenn |
$340,000 |
$342,000 |
|
$327,500 |
|
-0.6% |
3.8% |
-50.0% |
-41.7% |
|
Kern |
$398,220 |
$405,000 |
|
$390,000 |
|
-1.7% |
2.1% |
-20.9% |
-6.3% |
|
Kings |
$383,000 |
$374,700 |
|
$365,990 |
|
2.2% |
4.6% |
-5.4% |
82.8% |
|
Madera |
$412,000 |
$440,000 |
|
$441,940 |
|
-6.4% |
-6.8% |
-41.0% |
-38.5% |
|
Merced |
$409,750 |
$395,000 |
|
$415,000 |
|
3.7% |
-1.3% |
-5.6% |
17.5% |
|
Placer |
$625,000 |
$645,740 |
|
$650,000 |
|
-3.2% |
-3.8% |
-31.6% |
2.8% |
|
Sacramento |
$540,000 |
$530,000 |
|
$540,000 |
|
1.9% |
0.0% |
-27.8% |
-8.8% |
|
San Benito |
$859,900 |
$777,500 |
|
$777,500 |
|
10.6% |
10.6% |
-34.2% |
-10.7% |
|
San Joaquin |
$530,000 |
$525,900 |
|
$510,000 |
|
0.8% |
3.9% |
-42.9% |
-24.0% |
|
Stanislaus |
$477,000 |
$456,250 |
|
$460,000 |
|
4.5% |
3.7% |
-28.0% |
7.6% |
|
Tulare |
$375,000 |
$397,600 |
|
$371,900 |
|
-5.7% |
0.8% |
-29.2% |
0.6% |
|
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
$445,000 |
$430,000 |
|
$443,000 |
|
3.5% |
0.5% |
-38.7% |
1.6% |
|
Lassen |
$255,000 |
$280,000 |
|
$231,000 |
|
-8.9% |
10.4% |
-23.1% |
-44.4% |
|
Plumas |
$350,000 |
$395,000 |
|
$450,000 |
|
-11.4% |
-22.2% |
-33.3% |
-26.3% |
|
Shasta |
$386,000 |
$380,000 |
|
$405,000 |
|
1.6% |
-4.7% |
-22.8% |
32.2% |
|
Siskiyou |
$359,000 |
$308,500 |
|
$303,000 |
|
16.4% |
18.5% |
-34.4% |
10.5% |
|
Tehama |
$347,000 |
$304,500 |
|
$337,450 |
|
14.0% |
2.8% |
45.5% |
128.6% |
|
Trinity |
$290,000 |
$260,000 |
|
$442,500 |
|
11.5% |
-34.5% |
0.0% |
166.7% |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
$430,000 |
$420,000 |
|
$437,000 |
|
2.4% |
-1.6% |
-44.9% |
35.0% |
|
Calaveras |
$455,000 |
$434,500 |
|
$449,500 |
|
4.7% |
1.2% |
-44.4% |
-42.3% |
|
Del Norte |
$460,000 |
$361,000 |
|
$385,500 |
|
27.4% |
19.3% |
0.0% |
-10.0% |
|
El Dorado |
$705,380 |
$650,000 |
|
$615,000 |
|
8.5% |
14.7% |
-35.8% |
-7.5% |
|
Humboldt |
$384,000 |
$425,000 |
|
$407,500 |
|
-9.6% |
-5.8% |
-19.4% |
49.1% |
|
Lake |
$312,000 |
$319,400 |
|
$340,000 |
|
-2.3% |
-8.2% |
-54.9% |
-13.5% |
|
Mariposa |
$369,750 |
$500,000 |
|
$650,000 |
|
-26.1% |
-43.1% |
9.1% |
200.0% |
|
Mendocino |
$480,000 |
$445,200 |
|
$498,000 |
|
7.8% |
-3.6% |
-22.0% |
14.3% |
|
Mono |
$1,564,500 |
$762,500 |
|
$485,000 |
|
105.2% |
222.6% |
-40.0% |
-14.3% |
|
Nevada |
$578,500 |
$542,500 |
|
$525,000 |
|
6.6% |
10.2% |
-15.0% |
-1.4% |
|
Sutter |
$460,000 |
$450,000 |
|
$405,000 |
|
2.2% |
13.6% |
-42.6% |
-27.0% |
|
Tuolumne |
$420,000 |
$381,000 |
|
$364,000 |
|
10.2% |
15.4% |
-22.2% |
2.1% |
|
Yolo |
$559,200 |
$605,000 |
|
$600,000 |
|
-7.6% |
-6.8% |
0.0% |
10.9% |
|
Yuba |
$449,950 |
$429,000 |
|
$441,000 |
|
4.9% |
2.0% |
-42.0% |
-13.0% |
r = revised
NA = not available
January 2026 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
|
January 2026 |
Unsold Inventory Index |
Median Time on Market |
||||||||
|
State/Region/County |
Jan. 2026 |
Dec. 2025 |
|
Jan. 2025 |
|
Jan. 2026 |
Dec. 2025 |
|
Jan. 2025 |
|
|
Calif. Single-family home |
4.4 |
2.7 |
|
4.1 |
|
39.0 |
36.0 |
|
35.0 |
|
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
5.6 |
3.3 |
|
4.5 |
|
49.0 |
42.0 |
|
39.0 |
|
|
Los Angeles Metro Area |
4.6 |
2.9 |
|
4.3 |
|
41.0 |
36.0 |
|
37.0 |
|
|
Central Coast |
4.5 |
2.6 |
|
4.1 |
|
37.5 |
31.0 |
|
32.0 |
|
|
Central Valley |
4.4 |
2.8 |
|
3.8 |
|
39.0 |
38.0 |
|
34.0 |
|
|
Far North |
5.3 |
3.9 |
|
6.0 |
|
55.0 |
46.0 |
|
50.0 |
|
|
Inland Empire |
5.3 |
3.7 |
|
5.3 |
r |
49.0 |
43.0 |
|
45.0 |
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
3.5 |
1.6 |
|
3.2 |
|
32.0 |
29.0 |
|
29.0 |
|
|
Southern California |
4.4 |
2.9 |
|
4.1 |
|
39.0 |
35.0 |
|
36.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
2.8 |
1.3 |
|
3.2 |
|
17.0 |
19.0 |
|
17.0 |
|
|
Contra Costa |
3.6 |
1.9 |
|
3.6 |
|
29.0 |
21.0 |
|
26.0 |
|
|
Marin |
3.8 |
1.5 |
|
3.9 |
|
95.0 |
86.5 |
|
103.0 |
|
|
Napa |
8.6 |
4.4 |
|
6.8 |
|
112.5 |
87.0 |
|
92.0 |
|
|
San Francisco |
2.4 |
0.8 |
|
2.2 |
|
23.0 |
32.5 |
|
57.0 |
|
|
San Mateo |
2.5 |
1.0 |
|
2.4 |
|
13.0 |
15.0 |
|
12.0 |
|
|
Santa Clara |
2.9 |
1.0 |
|
2.1 |
|
11.0 |
14.0 |
|
10.0 |
|
|
Solano |
4.2 |
2.5 |
|
4.0 |
|
59.0 |
64.5 |
|
64.0 |
|
|
Sonoma |
4.5 |
2.4 |
|
4.1 |
|
95.0 |
77.0 |
|
61.5 |
|
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Imperial |
5.1 |
3.5 |
|
6.2 |
|
23.0 |
20.5 |
|
11.0 |
|
|
Los Angeles |
4.5 |
2.8 |
|
4.0 |
|
38.0 |
33.0 |
|
33.0 |
|
|
Orange |
3.4 |
2.1 |
|
3.2 |
|
35.0 |
30.0 |
|
34.0 |
|
|
Riverside |
5.6 |
3.6 |
|
5.2 |
|
50.0 |
43.0 |
|
46.0 |
|
|
San Bernardino |
4.9 |
3.9 |
|
5.7 |
r |
49.0 |
43.0 |
|
45.0 |
|
|
San Diego |
3.6 |
2.5 |
|
3.4 |
|
29.0 |
27.0 |
|
29.0 |
|
|
Ventura |
4.2 |
2.7 |
|
3.8 |
|
52.0 |
44.0 |
|
40.0 |
|
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
4.9 |
2.8 |
|
3.4 |
|
39.0 |
29.0 |
|
24.0 |
|
|
San Luis Obispo |
4.1 |
2.6 |
|
4.7 |
|
55.0 |
41.0 |
|
45.0 |
|
|
Santa Barbara |
4.1 |
2.7 |
|
4.4 |
|
22.0 |
21.0 |
|
36.0 |
|
|
Santa Cruz |
5.1 |
2.4 |
|
3.8 |
|
43.0 |
40.0 |
|
28.5 |
|
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
5.6 |
3.5 |
|
4.4 |
|
34.0 |
32.0 |
|
33.0 |
|
|
Glenn |
5.4 |
2.8 |
|
3.6 |
|
41.0 |
28.0 |
|
84.5 |
|
|
Kern |
4.5 |
3.1 |
|
3.9 |
|
38.0 |
33.0 |
|
29.0 |
|
|
Kings |
3.5 |
2.7 |
|
6.4 |
|
33.0 |
30.5 |
|
31.0 |
|
|
Madera |
9.1 |
5.1 |
|
6.0 |
|
35.0 |
60.5 |
|
57.5 |
|
|
Merced |
4.3 |
3.7 |
|
4.5 |
|
29.0 |
35.0 |
|
38.0 |
|
|
Placer |
3.8 |
2.3 |
|
3.7 |
|
51.0 |
49.0 |
|
42.5 |
|
|
Sacramento |
3.3 |
2.2 |
|
2.7 |
|
40.0 |
37.0 |
|
34.0 |
|
|
San Benito |
4.2 |
2.6 |
|
3.9 |
|
58.0 |
38.5 |
|
24.5 |
|
|
San Joaquin |
5.3 |
2.7 |
|
3.8 |
|
42.0 |
38.0 |
|
35.0 |
|
|
Stanislaus |
3.9 |
2.5 |
|
3.9 |
|
32.0 |
33.5 |
|
35.0 |
|
|
Tulare |
4.5 |
2.9 |
|
4.0 |
|
33.0 |
35.5 |
|
27.0 |
|
|
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
4.3 |
2.6 |
|
4.3 |
|
37.0 |
37.0 |
|
34.5 |
|
|
Lassen |
5.3 |
6.5 |
|
4.6 |
|
141.5 |
153.0 |
|
20.0 |
|
|
Plumas |
5.9 |
3.4 |
|
5.1 |
|
99.5 |
89.0 |
|
146.0 |
|
|
Shasta |
5.0 |
3.4 |
|
5.8 |
|
49.0 |
40.0 |
|
47.0 |
|
|
Siskiyou |
8.9 |
6.0 |
|
9.2 |
|
35.0 |
56.0 |
|
96.0 |
|
|
Tehama |
4.7 |
7.2 |
|
8.5 |
|
99.0 |
71.0 |
|
66.0 |
|
|
Trinity |
12.3 |
12.4 |
|
29.0 |
|
85.0 |
158.0 |
|
237.0 |
|
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
9.1 |
4.8 |
|
10.4 |
|
73.0 |
98.0 |
|
46.0 |
|
|
Calaveras |
7.2 |
4.3 |
|
5.4 |
|
42.0 |
51.5 |
|
68.0 |
|
|
Del Norte |
8.4 |
10.3 |
|
8.2 |
|
73.0 |
76.0 |
|
64.0 |
|
|
El Dorado |
5.4 |
3.2 |
|
5.2 |
|
59.5 |
52.0 |
|
53.5 |
|
|
Humboldt |
5.7 |
4.6 |
|
9.2 |
|
31.0 |
40.0 |
|
48.0 |
|
|
Lake |
12.6 |
5.4 |
|
9.8 |
|
50.5 |
87.0 |
|
85.0 |
|
|
Mariposa |
7.9 |
8.4 |
|
22.5 |
|
5.0 |
149.0 |
|
165.0 |
|
|
Mendocino |
10.1 |
7.9 |
|
10.9 |
|
168.0 |
99.0 |
|
83.0 |
|
|
Mono |
3.2 |
2.3 |
|
3.6 |
|
29.0 |
39.0 |
|
56.0 |
|
|
Nevada |
4.0 |
3.4 |
|
4.5 |
|
82.5 |
49.0 |
|
78.0 |
|
|
Sutter |
5.6 |
2.8 |
|
3.5 |
|
43.0 |
50.0 |
|
26.0 |
|
|
Tuolumne |
6.0 |
4.5 |
|
6.9 |
|
75.0 |
81.0 |
|
66.0 |
|
|
Yolo |
3.5 |
2.0 |
|
3.9 |
|
47.0 |
46.5 |
|
36.0 |
|
|
Yuba |
5.8 |
3.0 |
|
5.6 |
|
53.0 |
56.0 |
|
45.0 |
|
r = revised
NA = not available
Article belongs to CAR.org
The California Housing Finance Agency's Dream For All Shared Appreciation Loan program will begin accepting applications for down payment assistance on February 24. The application window will close on March 16. After that, applications will be selected and audited. Recipients of conditional approval will have 90 days to shop for a home. C.A.R. was instrumental in getting funding for CalHFA's down payment assistance program.
The life-changing down payment assistance program, which offers first-generation homebuyers up to 20% of their home purchase price or appraised value in down payment assistance, will be using a random selection process to facilitate the equitable distribution of state funds.
CalHFA expects to make $150 million to $200 million available for 2026, and potential applicants should start getting ready now. The random selection process will include Governor Newsom's direction tha...
February 10, 2026
California housing affordability improves from third-quarter 2025 and a year ago,
C.A.R. reports
SACRAMENTO (Feb. 10) – Moderating home prices and cooling market competition lowered borrowing costs and allowed more Californians to qualify for mortgages and improve their chances of buying a home in the fourth quarter of 2025, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
Infographic: https://www.car.org/Global/Infographics/HAI-2025-Q4
Eighteen percent of the state's homebuyers could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in fourth-quarter 2025, up from 17 percent in the third quarter of 2025 and up from 16 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). Despite recent gains, low affordability continues to challenge both buyers and sellers statewide.
The fourth-quarter 2025 figure is less than a third of the affordability index peak of 56 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012. C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.
The effective interest rate declined for the third consecutive quarter, dropping to its lowest level since third-quarter 2022. The average effective interest rate receded to 6.35% in fourth-quarter 2025 from 6.67% the previous quarter and was 41 basis points below the level 6.76% recorded a year earlier. Mortgage rates, which oscillated throughout the first six months of 2025 due partly to tariff-induced uncertainty, trended modestly lower in the second half of the year as the Federal Reserve's rate cuts ― or rather the expectations of the rate cuts ― kick-started the decline. The cumulative easing pushed the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to a three-year low at the start of 2026 before rising in recent weeks. Entering 2026, the Fed opted to hold rates steady at its January meeting, but additional rate relief is expected later this year as softer economic growth is projected for the next 12 months. Lingering inflation risks and bond market volatility will continue to have an impact on borrowing costs, but costs should gradually come down by the end of the year, and housing affordability could see some slight improvement in the next 12 months.
The median price of an existing single-family home declined for the second straight quarter in the fourth quarter of 2025, falling 2.2 percent as market competition cooled — typical for year-end. On a year-over-year basis, California recorded its first annual price decline since the second quarter of 2023, falling 0.6 percent below the year-ago level. As the market transitions through its seasonal off-cycle, home prices may remain soft for the next couple of months but should rebound as the homebuying season begins in late March/early April. Should mortgage rates ease further and economic uncertainty diminish, housing affordability could see incremental improvement for the first quarter of 2026.
A minimum annual income of $213,200 was needed in California to afford the $5,330 monthly payment, including principal, interest, and taxes (PITI) on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6.35%. While the fourth-quarter 2025 annual required income was $23,600 below the record high set in second-quarter 2024, it still marked the 12th of the past 13 quarters with income requirements above $200,000. Monthly PITI declined modestly from both the prior quarter (-4.7 percent) and a year earlier (-4.0 percent) but remained more than double the national average — a gap that has persisted since at least 2018.
More California households (28 percent) could afford a typical condo/townhome in fourth-quarter 2025, rising from 27 percent third-quarter 2025 and 25 percent in fourth-quarter 2024. An annual income of $159,200 was required to make the monthly payment of $3,980 on the $650,000 median-priced condo/townhome in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Compared with California, more than one-third (39 percent) of the nation's households could afford to purchase a $414,900 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $101,600 to make monthly payments of $2,540. Nationwide, affordability edged up from 36 percent in both the third quarter of 2025 and a year ago.
Key points from the Fourth-Quarter 2025 Housing Affordability report include:
Leading the way…® in California real estate for 120 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with nearly 190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Sacramento.
# # #
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Fourth Quarter 2025
|
4th Qtr. 2025 |
C.A.R. Traditional Housing Affordability Index |
|||||||
|
STATE/REGION/COUNTY |
4th Qtr. 2025 |
3rd Qtr. 2025 |
|
4th Qtr. 2024 |
|
Median Home Price |
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance |
Minimum Qualifying Income |
|
Calif. Single-family home |
18 |
17 |
|
16 |
r |
$869,300 |
$5,330 |
$213,200 |
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
28 |
27 |
|
25 |
r |
$650,000 |
$3,980 |
$159,200 |
|
Los Angeles Metro Area |
17 |
16 |
|
15 |
r |
$830,000 |
$5,090 |
$203,600 |
|
Inland Empire |
24 |
23 |
|
21 |
r |
$595,000 |
$3,650 |
$146,000 |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
23 |
22 |
|
21 |
r |
$1,263,900 |
$7,750 |
$310,000 |
|
United States |
39 |
36 |
|
36 |
|
$414,900 |
$2,540 |
$101,600 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
22 |
21 |
|
19 |
r |
$1,225,000 |
$7,510 |
$300,400 |
|
Contra Costa |
27 |
26 |
|
25 |
r |
$860,000 |
$5,270 |
$210,800 |
|
Marin |
25 |
22 |
|
19 |
r |
$1,527,500 |
$9,360 |
$374,400 |
|
Napa |
17 |
16 |
|
18 |
|
$924,000 |
$5,660 |
$226,400 |
|
San Francisco |
21 |
22 |
|
21 |
|
$1,800,000 |
$11,030 |
$441,200 |
|
San Mateo |
19 |
18 |
|
17 |
|
$2,070,000 |
$12,690 |
$507,600 |
|
Santa Clara |
21 |
20 |
|
19 |
r |
$1,920,000 |
$11,770 |
$470,800 |
|
Solano |
30 |
26 |
|
26 |
|
$580,000 |
$3,550 |
$142,000 |
|
Sonoma |
19 |
19 |
|
19 |
r |
$821,000 |
$5,030 |
$201,200 |
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Imperial |
25 |
26 |
|
29 |
r |
$435,000 |
$2,670 |
$106,800 |
|
Los Angeles |
13 |
12 |
|
12 |
r |
$939,690 |
$5,760 |
$230,400 |
|
Orange |
14 |
13 |
|
12 |
|
$1,396,500 |
$8,560 |
$342,400 |
|
Riverside |
24 |
23 |
|
21 |
r |
$633,580 |
$3,880 |
$155,200 |
|
San Bernardino |
30 |
29 |
|
28 |
r |
$497,000 |
$3,050 |
$122,000 |
|
San Diego |
15 |
13 |
|
12 |
|
$994,000 |
$6,090 |
$243,600 |
|
Ventura |
17 |
16 |
|
14 |
|
$932,500 |
$5,720 |
$228,800 |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
12 |
9 |
|
11 |
r |
$925,000 |
$5,670 |
$226,800 |
|
San Luis Obispo |
14 |
13 |
|
12 |
r |
$905,000 |
$5,550 |
$222,000 |
|
Santa Barbara |
12 |
12 |
|
11 |
r |
$1,250,000 |
$7,660 |
$306,400 |
|
Santa Cruz |
15 |
14 |
|
15 |
r |
$1,287,500 |
$7,890 |
$315,600 |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
33 |
30 |
|
31 |
r |
$430,000 |
$2,640 |
$105,600 |
|
Glenn |
42 |
37 |
|
34 |
r |
$342,750 |
$2,100 |
$84,000 |
|
Kern |
33 |
31 |
|
30 |
r |
$397,490 |
$2,440 |
$97,600 |
|
Kings |
36 |
35 |
r |
34 |
r |
$370,000 |
$2,270 |
$90,800 |
|
Madera |
35 |
32 |
|
30 |
|
$440,000 |
$2,700 |
$108,000 |
|
Merced |
30 |
27 |
|
25 |
r |
$420,000 |
$2,570 |
$102,800 |
|
Placer |
34 |
31 |
|
31 |
|
$655,000 |
$4,010 |
$160,400 |
|
Sacramento |
30 |
28 |
|
27 |
r |
$539,000 |
$3,300 |
$132,000 |
|
San Benito |
27 |
26 |
|
21 |
r |
$750,000 |
$4,600 |
$184,000 |
|
San Joaquin |
31 |
29 |
|
28 |
r |
$540,000 |
$3,310 |
$132,400 |
|
Stanislaus |
31 |
28 |
|
31 |
r |
$465,000 |
$2,850 |
$114,000 |
|
Tulare |
35 |
33 |
|
29 |
r |
$381,500 |
$2,340 |
$93,600 |
|
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
30 |
27 |
|
28 |
|
$440,000 |
$2,700 |
$108,000 |
|
Lassen |
57 |
52 |
|
52 |
r |
$229,000 |
$1,400 |
$56,000 |
|
Plumas |
39 |
30 |
|
35 |
r |
$399,500 |
$2,450 |
$98,000 |
|
Shasta |
37 |
35 |
|
35 |
r |
$370,000 |
$2,270 |
$90,800 |
|
Siskiyou |
39 |
35 |
|
36 |
r |
$302,500 |
$1,850 |
$74,000 |
|
Tehama |
39 |
35 |
|
37 |
r |
$322,000 |
$1,970 |
$78,800 |
|
Trinity |
44 |
34 |
|
29 |
|
$250,000 |
$1,530 |
$61,200 |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
38 |
36 |
|
36 |
r |
$420,000 |
$2,570 |
$102,800 |
|
Calaveras |
39 |
34 |
|
35 |
r |
$439,000 |
$2,690 |
$107,600 |
|
Del Norte |
36 |
34 |
|
33 |
|
$379,000 |
$2,320 |
$92,800 |
|
El Dorado |
32 |
29 |
|
27 |
r |
$675,000 |
$4,140 |
$165,600 |
|
Humboldt |
30 |
25 |
|
22 |
r |
$413,000 |
$2,530 |
$101,200 |
|
Lake |
31 |
29 |
|
36 |
r |
$332,000 |
$2,030 |
$81,200 |
|
Mariposa |
29 |
29 |
|
24 |
r |
$441,000 |
$2,700 |
$108,000 |
|
Mendocino |
25 |
26 |
|
22 |
r |
$492,500 |
$3,020 |
$120,800 |
|
Mono |
10 |
7 |
|
7 |
r |
$923,000 |
$5,660 |
$226,400 |
|
Nevada |
31 |
30 |
|
30 |
r |
$550,000 |
$3,370 |
$134,800 |
|
Sutter |
31 |
28 |
|
25 |
r |
$450,000 |
$2,760 |
$110,400 |
|
Tuolumne |
43 |
36 |
|
38 |
r |
$380,000 |
$2,330 |
$93,200 |
|
Yolo |
26 |
25 |
|
24 |
r |
$622,500 |
$3,820 |
$152,800 |
|
Yuba |
29 |
28 |
|
27 |
|
$442,750 |
$2,710 |
$108,400 |
r = revised
Traditional Housing Affordability Indices (HAI) were calculated based on the following effective composite interest rates: 6.35% (4Qtr. 2025), 6.67% (3Qtr. 2025) and 6.76% (4Qtr. 2024).
Article belongs to Car.org