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Uncategorized | 818 Posts
February
25

California home sales decline in January to lowest level since May 2025
 amid 23-month price low, C.A.R. reports

  • Existing, single-family home sales totaled 256,550 in January on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, down 10.8 percent from 287,570 in December and down 1.3 percent from 260,040 in January 2025.

  • January's statewide median home price was $823,180, down 3.2 percent from $850,680 in December and down from $839,130 in January 2025.

  • Year-to-date statewide home sales were down 1.3 percent in January.

SACRAMENTO (Feb. 18) – California home sales retreated in January to their lowest level since May 2025 as home prices fell to a 23-month low, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

Infographic: https://www.car.org/Global/Infographics/2026-01-Sales-and-Price

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California reached a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 256,550 in January, according to data collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. This annualized figure reflects the number of homes that would be sold in 2026 if January's sales pace continued throughout the year, with adjustments made for typical seasonal patterns. January sales were down 10.8 percent from a downwardly revised 287,570 in December and down 1.3 percent in January 2025.

The decline extends the streak of sub-300,000 seasonally adjusted annualized sales to 40 consecutive months, underscoring the ongoing market weakness in the last few years. However, a stronger than typical monthly increase in pending sales suggests that closed sales could rebound in February, especially since mortgage rates have recently declined nearly back to their recent lows.

Statewide pending home sales increased from both the prior month and January 2025. On a month-to-month basis, pending sales jumped 34.6 percent, as mortgage rates dropped sharply in the second week of January before bouncing back towards the end of the month.

"After closing out 2025 on a strong note, California's housing market has started the new year on a softer footing, with both sales and prices coming in below last year's levels," said 2026 C.A.R. President Tamara Suminski, a Southern California broker and REALTOR®. "However, as mortgage rates ease toward recent lows and housing supply is expected to improve in the coming weeks, we anticipate momentum to build as the market heads into the spring homebuying season."

California's median home price declined in January from both the prior month and year ago, falling to a 23-month low of $823,180 as market competition remained cool at the start of the year. The statewide median price dropped 3.2 percent from December, nearly double the long-run average of 1.7 percent observed between December and January. On a year-over-year basis, the median price fell for the third time in the past four months and registered its largest annual price decline since June 2023. Moderating demand and still-elevated inventory levels continued to exert downward pressure on prices in early 2026, indicating that the market is gradually transitioning towards a more balanced supply and demand condition.

"California's housing market pulled back in January as heightened policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions contributed to increased volatility in mortgage rates early in the year," said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. "More recent economic indicators, however, suggest that the broader economy is beginning to stabilize, which should help restore confidence among both buyers and sellers. With pending home sales posting a solid gain last month, we anticipate a rebound in housing market activity in February."

Other key points from C.A.R.'s January 2025 resale housing report include:

  • Only one major region in California recorded a non-seasonally adjusted, year-over-year increase in home sales. The Far North (19.8 percent) stood out as the sole region posting double-digit gains from a year earlier. Meanwhile, the Central Valley (-7.6 percent), San Francisco Bay Area (-7.0 percent), Central Coast (-5.0 percent), and Southern California (-4.4 percent) all registered moderate annual sales declines, reflecting a broad-based slowdown in closed sales activity at the start of the year. Although mortgage rates remain below their year-ago levels, recent volatility in rates has tempered buyer momentum, suggesting that while sales activity could improve as the spring homebuying season approaches, a rebound will depend on sustained rate relief and clearer economic signals in the months ahead.

  • At the county level, 24 of the 53 counties tracked by C.A.R. posted year-over-year sales gains in January, with 14 recording double-digit increases. Mariposa led with sales that tripled from a year earlier, followed by Trinity (166.7 percent) and Tehama (128.6 percent). Meanwhile, 29 counties experienced annual sales declines, including 16 that fell by more than 10 percent, led by Lassen (-44.4 percent), Calaveras (-42.3 percent), and Glenn (-41.7 percent).

  • Only two of California's five major regions recorded increases in year-over-year median home price gains. The Central Coast led with a moderate 2.9 percent growth in from January 2025, followed by the San Francisco Bay Area with a marginal 0.2 percent uptick. In contrast, the Far North posted the largest annual decline of 5.0 percent, while Southern California slipped 0.6 percent, and the Central Valley region remained flat compared to a year earlier.

  • At the county level, 31 of the 53 counties tracked by C.A.R. recorded year-over-year median home price gains in January. Mono County led with a 222.6 percent increase, largely reflecting shifts in the mix of homes sold that skewed the median upward. Del Norte (19.3 percent) and Siskiyou (18.5 percent) followed with solid annual gains. Conversely, 21 counties registered price declines from a year earlier, while Sacramento remained unchanged. Mariposa experienced the steepest drop (-43.1 percent), followed by Trinity (-34.5 percent) and Plumas (-22.2 percent), underscoring continued price softness in select smaller markets.
  • Housing inventory expanded in January, rising sharply from the prior month and moderately from a year earlier, as market activity slowed amid a slowdown in the labor market that weighed on consumer confidence. The Unsold Inventory Index was 4.4 months in January, up from 2.7 months in December and up from 4.1 months in January 2025. While total active listings rose from January 2025 for the 24th consecutive month, the annual gain recorded in January was the smallest in two years. January also marked the ninth consecutive month of decelerating inventory growth, suggesting that while housing supply has been showing some improvement, the pace of expansion is losing steam as the market continues to be hindered by mortgage volatility and economic uncertainty.
  • The median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home was 39 days in January, up from 35 days in January 2025.
  • C.A.R.'s statewide sales-price-to-list-price ratio* was 98 percent in January 2025 and 98.6 percent in January 2025.
  • The statewide median price per square foot** for an existing single-family home was $399, down from $409 in January a year ago.
  • The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 6.11 percent in January, down from 6.96 percent in January 2025, according to C.A.R.'s calculations based on Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage survey data.

Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data is not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home. The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower end or the upper end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold. The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.

*Sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions. The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its original list price and is expressed as a percentage. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property. It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet. C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 53 counties.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for 120 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with nearly 190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Sacramento.

# # #

January 2026 County Sales and Price Activity
(and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

January 2026

Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes

Sales

State/Region/County

Jan.

2026

Dec.

2025

 

Jan.

2025

 

Price MTM% Chg

Price YTY% Chg

Sales MTM% Chg

Sales YTY% Chg

Calif. Single-family home

$823,180

$850,680

 

$839,130

r

-3.2%

-1.9%

-10.8%

-1.3%

Calif. Condo/Townhome

$625,000

$638,000

 

$649,000

 

-2.0%

-3.7%

-29.0%

-4.0%

Los Angeles Metro Area

$808,000

$807,540

 

$820,000

 

0.1%

-1.5%

-28.8%

-4.0%

Central Coast

$1,091,180

$997,000

 

$1,060,000

 

9.4%

2.9%

-32.9%

-5.0%

Central Valley

$480,000

$485,000

 

$480,000

 

-1.0%

0.0%

-30.1%

-7.6%

Far North

$379,950

$380,000

 

$400,000

 

0.0%

-5.0%

-24.3%

19.8%

Inland Empire

$595,000

$600,050

 

$600,000

 

-0.8%

-0.8%

-23.6%

0.7%

San Francisco Bay Area

$1,127,000

$1,200,000

 

$1,125,000

 

-6.1%

0.2%

-39.6%

-7.0%

Southern California

$845,530

$855,000

 

$850,500

 

-1.1%

-0.6%

-27.8%

-4.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Francisco Bay Area

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alameda

$1,120,010

$1,181,000

 

$1,150,000

 

-5.2%

-2.6%

-39.0%

1.9%

Contra Costa

$802,000

$839,500

 

$785,000

 

-4.5%

2.2%

-35.2%

2.4%

Marin

$1,527,000

$1,465,000

 

$1,332,500

 

4.2%

14.6%

-43.4%

15.4%

Napa

$1,002,500

$930,000

 

$917,500

 

7.8%

9.3%

-43.7%

-9.1%

San Francisco

$1,653,320

$1,697,500

 

$1,432,500

 

-2.6%

15.4%

-52.5%

-38.5%

San Mateo

$2,000,000

$2,058,000

 

$1,960,000

 

-2.8%

2.0%

-43.7%

0.7%

Santa Clara

$1,807,500

$1,830,000

 

$1,840,000

 

-1.2%

-1.8%

-40.0%

-19.0%

Solano

$552,500

$570,000

 

$565,000

 

-3.1%

-2.2%

-32.0%

-5.9%

Sonoma

$799,000

$840,000

 

$811,470

 

-4.9%

-1.5%

-42.2%

-8.6%

Southern California

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Imperial

$455,000

$462,950

 

$386,750

 

-1.7%

17.6%

-23.9%

45.8%

Los Angeles

$879,720

$890,910

 

$886,400

 

-1.3%

-0.8%

-34.7%

-8.5%

Orange

$1,410,000

$1,390,000

 

$1,430,000

 

1.4%

-1.4%

-24.8%

-3.4%

Riverside

$639,440

$635,000

 

$645,000

 

0.7%

-0.9%

-26.7%

-9.0%

San Bernardino

$500,990

$500,970

 

$505,000

 

0.0%

-0.8%

-13.5%

25.1%

San Diego

$1,050,000

$1,000,000

 

$1,030,000

 

5.0%

1.9%

-23.8%

-7.3%

Ventura

$917,500

$913,000

 

$875,000

 

0.5%

4.9%

-27.9%

-2.4%

Central Coast

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monterey

$998,750

$900,000

 

$965,000

 

11.0%

3.5%

-35.5%

-22.8%

San Luis Obispo

$950,000

$905,000

 

$920,000

 

5.0%

3.3%

-30.4%

9.6%

Santa Barbara

$1,475,000

$1,128,500

 

$1,550,010

 

30.7%

-4.8%

-24.7%

8.4%

Santa Cruz

$1,237,500

$1,287,500

 

$1,199,500

 

-3.9%

3.2%

-45.6%

-17.6%

Central Valley

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fresno

$429,900

$415,000

 

$426,690

 

3.6%

0.8%

-33.0%

-13.3%

Glenn

$340,000

$342,000

 

$327,500

 

-0.6%

3.8%

-50.0%

-41.7%

Kern

$398,220

$405,000

 

$390,000

 

-1.7%

2.1%

-20.9%

-6.3%

Kings

$383,000

$374,700

 

$365,990

 

2.2%

4.6%

-5.4%

82.8%

Madera

$412,000

$440,000

 

$441,940

 

-6.4%

-6.8%

-41.0%

-38.5%

Merced

$409,750

$395,000

 

$415,000

 

3.7%

-1.3%

-5.6%

17.5%

Placer

$625,000

$645,740

 

$650,000

 

-3.2%

-3.8%

-31.6%

2.8%

Sacramento

$540,000

$530,000

 

$540,000

 

1.9%

0.0%

-27.8%

-8.8%

San Benito

$859,900

$777,500

 

$777,500

 

10.6%

10.6%

-34.2%

-10.7%

San Joaquin

$530,000

$525,900

 

$510,000

 

0.8%

3.9%

-42.9%

-24.0%

Stanislaus

$477,000

$456,250

 

$460,000

 

4.5%

3.7%

-28.0%

7.6%

Tulare

$375,000

$397,600

 

$371,900

 

-5.7%

0.8%

-29.2%

0.6%

Far North

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Butte

$445,000

$430,000

 

$443,000

 

3.5%

0.5%

-38.7%

1.6%

Lassen

$255,000

$280,000

 

$231,000

 

-8.9%

10.4%

-23.1%

-44.4%

Plumas

$350,000

$395,000

 

$450,000

 

-11.4%

-22.2%

-33.3%

-26.3%

Shasta

$386,000

$380,000

 

$405,000

 

1.6%

-4.7%

-22.8%

32.2%

Siskiyou

$359,000

$308,500

 

$303,000

 

16.4%

18.5%

-34.4%

10.5%

Tehama

$347,000

$304,500

 

$337,450

 

14.0%

2.8%

45.5%

128.6%

Trinity

$290,000

$260,000

 

$442,500

 

11.5%

-34.5%

0.0%

166.7%

Other Calif. Counties

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amador

$430,000

$420,000

 

$437,000

 

2.4%

-1.6%

-44.9%

35.0%

Calaveras

$455,000

$434,500

 

$449,500

 

4.7%

1.2%

-44.4%

-42.3%

Del Norte

$460,000

$361,000

 

$385,500

 

27.4%

19.3%

0.0%

-10.0%

El Dorado

$705,380

$650,000

 

$615,000

 

8.5%

14.7%

-35.8%

-7.5%

Humboldt

$384,000

$425,000

 

$407,500

 

-9.6%

-5.8%

-19.4%

49.1%

Lake

$312,000

$319,400

 

$340,000

 

-2.3%

-8.2%

-54.9%

-13.5%

Mariposa

$369,750

$500,000

 

$650,000

 

-26.1%

-43.1%

9.1%

200.0%

Mendocino

$480,000

$445,200

 

$498,000

 

7.8%

-3.6%

-22.0%

14.3%

Mono

$1,564,500

$762,500

 

$485,000

 

105.2%

222.6%

-40.0%

-14.3%

Nevada

$578,500

$542,500

 

$525,000

 

6.6%

10.2%

-15.0%

-1.4%

Sutter

$460,000

$450,000

 

$405,000

 

2.2%

13.6%

-42.6%

-27.0%

Tuolumne

$420,000

$381,000

 

$364,000

 

10.2%

15.4%

-22.2%

2.1%

Yolo

$559,200

$605,000

 

$600,000

 

-7.6%

-6.8%

0.0%

10.9%

Yuba

$449,950

$429,000

 

$441,000

 

4.9%

2.0%

-42.0%

-13.0%

r = revised
NA = not available

 

January 2026 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

January 2026

Unsold Inventory Index

Median Time on Market

State/Region/County

Jan.

2026

Dec.

2025

 

Jan.

2025

 

Jan.

2026

Dec.

2025

 

Jan.

2025

 

Calif. Single-family home

4.4

2.7

 

4.1

 

39.0

36.0

 

35.0

 

Calif. Condo/Townhome

5.6

3.3

 

4.5

 

49.0

42.0

 

39.0

 

Los Angeles Metro Area

4.6

2.9

 

4.3

 

41.0

36.0

 

37.0

 

Central Coast

4.5

2.6

 

4.1

 

37.5

31.0

 

32.0

 

Central Valley

4.4

2.8

 

3.8

 

39.0

38.0

 

34.0

 

Far North

5.3

3.9

 

6.0

 

55.0

46.0

 

50.0

 

Inland Empire

5.3

3.7

 

5.3

r

49.0

43.0

 

45.0

 

San Francisco Bay Area

3.5

1.6

 

3.2

 

32.0

29.0

 

29.0

 

Southern California

4.4

2.9

 

4.1

 

39.0

35.0

 

36.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Francisco Bay Area

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alameda

2.8

1.3

 

3.2

 

17.0

19.0

 

17.0

 

Contra Costa

3.6

1.9

 

3.6

 

29.0

21.0

 

26.0

 

Marin

3.8

1.5

 

3.9

 

95.0

86.5

 

103.0

 

Napa

8.6

4.4

 

6.8

 

112.5

87.0

 

92.0

 

San Francisco

2.4

0.8

 

2.2

 

23.0

32.5

 

57.0

 

San Mateo

2.5

1.0

 

2.4

 

13.0

15.0

 

12.0

 

Santa Clara

2.9

1.0

 

2.1

 

11.0

14.0

 

10.0

 

Solano

4.2

2.5

 

4.0

 

59.0

64.5

 

64.0

 

Sonoma

4.5

2.4

 

4.1

 

95.0

77.0

 

61.5

 

Southern California

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Imperial

5.1

3.5

 

6.2

 

23.0

20.5

 

11.0

 

Los Angeles

4.5

2.8

 

4.0

 

38.0

33.0

 

33.0

 

Orange

3.4

2.1

 

3.2

 

35.0

30.0

 

34.0

 

Riverside

5.6

3.6

 

5.2

 

50.0

43.0

 

46.0

 

San Bernardino

4.9

3.9

 

5.7

r

49.0

43.0

 

45.0

 

San Diego

3.6

2.5

 

3.4

 

29.0

27.0

 

29.0

 

Ventura

4.2

2.7

 

3.8

 

52.0

44.0

 

40.0

 

Central Coast

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monterey

4.9

2.8

 

3.4

 

39.0

29.0

 

24.0

 

San Luis Obispo

4.1

2.6

 

4.7

 

55.0

41.0

 

45.0

 

Santa Barbara

4.1

2.7

 

4.4

 

22.0

21.0

 

36.0

 

Santa Cruz

5.1

2.4

 

3.8

 

43.0

40.0

 

28.5

 

Central Valley

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fresno

5.6

3.5

 

4.4

 

34.0

32.0

 

33.0

 

Glenn

5.4

2.8

 

3.6

 

41.0

28.0

 

84.5

 

Kern

4.5

3.1

 

3.9

 

38.0

33.0

 

29.0

 

Kings

3.5

2.7

 

6.4

 

33.0

30.5

 

31.0

 

Madera

9.1

5.1

 

6.0

 

35.0

60.5

 

57.5

 

Merced

4.3

3.7

 

4.5

 

29.0

35.0

 

38.0

 

Placer

3.8

2.3

 

3.7

 

51.0

49.0

 

42.5

 

Sacramento

3.3

2.2

 

2.7

 

40.0

37.0

 

34.0

 

San Benito

4.2

2.6

 

3.9

 

58.0

38.5

 

24.5

 

San Joaquin

5.3

2.7

 

3.8

 

42.0

38.0

 

35.0

 

Stanislaus

3.9

2.5

 

3.9

 

32.0

33.5

 

35.0

 

Tulare

4.5

2.9

 

4.0

 

33.0

35.5

 

27.0

 

Far North

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Butte

4.3

2.6

 

4.3

 

37.0

37.0

 

34.5

 

Lassen

5.3

6.5

 

4.6

 

141.5

153.0

 

20.0

 

Plumas

5.9

3.4

 

5.1

 

99.5

89.0

 

146.0

 

Shasta

5.0

3.4

 

5.8

 

49.0

40.0

 

47.0

 

Siskiyou

8.9

6.0

 

9.2

 

35.0

56.0

 

96.0

 

Tehama

4.7

7.2

 

8.5

 

99.0

71.0

 

66.0

 

Trinity

12.3

12.4

 

29.0

 

85.0

158.0

 

237.0

 

Other Calif. Counties

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amador

9.1

4.8

 

10.4

 

73.0

98.0

 

46.0

 

Calaveras

7.2

4.3

 

5.4

 

42.0

51.5

 

68.0

 

Del Norte

8.4

10.3

 

8.2

 

73.0

76.0

 

64.0

 

El Dorado

5.4

3.2

 

5.2

 

59.5

52.0

 

53.5

 

Humboldt

5.7

4.6

 

9.2

 

31.0

40.0

 

48.0

 

Lake

12.6

5.4

 

9.8

 

50.5

87.0

 

85.0

 

Mariposa

7.9

8.4

 

22.5

 

5.0

149.0

 

165.0

 

Mendocino

10.1

7.9

 

10.9

 

168.0

99.0

 

83.0

 

Mono

3.2

2.3

 

3.6

 

29.0

39.0

 

56.0

 

Nevada

4.0

3.4

 

4.5

 

82.5

49.0

 

78.0

 

Sutter

5.6

2.8

 

3.5

 

43.0

50.0

 

26.0

 

Tuolumne

6.0

4.5

 

6.9

 

75.0

81.0

 

66.0

 

Yolo

3.5

2.0

 

3.9

 

47.0

46.5

 

36.0

 

Yuba

5.8

3.0

 

5.6

 

53.0

56.0

 

45.0

 

r = revised
NA = not available

 Article belongs to CAR.org

February
16

In early 2026, California lending news is focused on increased consumer protection, new housing assistance, and fraud enforcement. Key highlights include the expansion of wildfire victim mortgage relief to $100,000, continued, California Dream for All Program offering...

Click Here to Read More...

February
16

The California Housing Finance Agency's Dream For All Shared Appreciation Loan program will begin accepting applications for down payment assistance on February 24. The application window will close on March 16. After that, applications will be selected and audited. Recipients of conditional approval will have 90 days to shop for a home. C.A.R. was instrumental in getting funding for CalHFA's down payment assistance program.

The life-changing down payment assistance program, which offers first-generation homebuyers up to 20% of their home purchase price or appraised value in down payment assistance, will be using a random selection process to facilitate the equitable distribution of state funds.

CalHFA expects to make $150 million to $200 million available for 2026, and potential applicants should start getting ready now. The random selection process will include Governor Newsom's direction tha...

Click Here to Read More...

February
16

February
12

February 10, 2026

California housing affordability improves from third-quarter 2025 and a year ago,
 C.A.R. reports

  • Eighteen percent of California households could afford to purchase the $869,300 median-priced home in the fourth quarter of 2025, up from 17 percent in third-quarter 2025 and up from 16 percent in fourth-quarter 2024.

  • A minimum annual income of $213,200 was needed to make monthly payments of $5,330, including principal, interest, taxes and insurance on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at a 6.35 percent interest rate.

  • Twenty-eight percent of home buyers were able to purchase the $650,000 median-priced condo or townhome. A minimum annual income of $159,200 was required to make a monthly payment of $3,980.

SACRAMENTO (Feb. 10) – Moderating home prices and cooling market competition lowered borrowing costs and allowed more Californians to qualify for mortgages and improve their chances of buying a home in the fourth quarter of 2025, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

Infographic: https://www.car.org/Global/Infographics/HAI-2025-Q4

Eighteen percent of the state's homebuyers could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in fourth-quarter 2025, up from 17 percent in the third quarter of 2025 and up from 16 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). Despite recent gains, low affordability continues to challenge both buyers and sellers statewide.

The fourth-quarter 2025 figure is less than a third of the affordability index peak of 56 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012. C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.

The effective interest rate declined for the third consecutive quarter, dropping to its lowest level since third-quarter 2022. The average effective interest rate receded to 6.35% in fourth-quarter 2025 from 6.67% the previous quarter and was 41 basis points below the level 6.76% recorded a year earlier. Mortgage rates, which oscillated throughout the first six months of 2025 due partly to tariff-induced uncertainty, trended modestly lower in the second half of the year as the Federal Reserve's rate cuts ― or rather the expectations of the rate cuts ― kick-started the decline. The cumulative easing pushed the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to a three-year low at the start of 2026 before rising in recent weeks. Entering 2026, the Fed opted to hold rates steady at its January meeting, but additional rate relief is expected later this year as softer economic growth is projected for the next 12 months. Lingering inflation risks and bond market volatility will continue to have an impact on borrowing costs, but costs should gradually come down by the end of the year, and housing affordability could see some slight improvement in the next 12 months.

The median price of an existing single-family home declined for the second straight quarter in the fourth quarter of 2025, falling 2.2 percent as market competition cooled — typical for year-end. On a year-over-year basis, California recorded its first annual price decline since the second quarter of 2023, falling 0.6 percent below the year-ago level. As the market transitions through its seasonal off-cycle, home prices may remain soft for the next couple of months but should rebound as the homebuying season begins in late March/early April. Should mortgage rates ease further and economic uncertainty diminish, housing affordability could see incremental improvement for the first quarter of 2026.

A minimum annual income of $213,200 was needed in California to afford the $5,330 monthly payment, including principal, interest, and taxes (PITI) on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6.35%. While the fourth-quarter 2025 annual required income was $23,600 below the record high set in second-quarter 2024, it still marked the 12th of the past 13 quarters with income requirements above $200,000. Monthly PITI declined modestly from both the prior quarter (-4.7 percent) and a year earlier (-4.0 percent) but remained more than double the national average — a gap that has persisted since at least 2018.

More California households (28 percent) could afford a typical condo/townhome in fourth-quarter 2025, rising from 27 percent third-quarter 2025 and 25 percent in fourth-quarter 2024. An annual income of $159,200 was required to make the monthly payment of $3,980 on the $650,000 median-priced condo/townhome in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Compared with California, more than one-third (39 percent) of the nation's households could afford to purchase a $414,900 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $101,600 to make monthly payments of $2,540. Nationwide, affordability edged up from 36 percent in both the third quarter of 2025 and a year ago.

Key points from the Fourth-Quarter 2025 Housing Affordability report include:

  • When compared to the previous quarter of 2025, housing affordability improved in the fourth quarter of 2025 in the vast majority of counties, declining in only three and unchanged in another three. Despite prices remaining near historical highs, 47 counties posted quarter-to-quarter affordability gains, driven by lower mortgage rates, higher incomes, and softer home prices. When compared to a year ago, affordability improved in 46 of 53 counties, while prices in seven counties either declined (three) or showed no improvement (four).

     

  • Lassen (57 percent) remained the most affordable county in California, followed by Trinity (44 percent) and Tuolumne (43 percent), where roughly two out of five households could afford a median-priced home. Of all counties in California, Lassen continued to require the lowest minimum qualifying income at $56,000.

  • Mono County (10 percent) was the least affordable county in the state, followed by Monterey and Santa Barbara (12 percent), each requiring a minimum income of at least $226,400. San Mateo remained the most expensive, with a minimum qualifying income of $507,600—the only county above $500,000 — followed by Santa Clara ($470,800) and San Francisco ($441,200).
  • As borrowing costs eased late in the year, affordability improved across much of the state, though it remains historically tight. The largest year-over-year gains were in Trinity (+15 points), Humboldt (+8), and Glenn (+8), while affordability declined most in Lake (-5), Imperial (-4), and Napa (-1). Housing affordability in California stayed near its all-time low and continued to be a challenge for both buyers and sellers.

    See C.A.R.'s historical housing affordability data.
    See first-time buyer housing affordability data.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for 120 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with nearly 190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Sacramento.

# # #

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Fourth Quarter 2025

4th Qtr. 2025

C.A.R. Traditional Housing Affordability Index

STATE/REGION/COUNTY

4th Qtr. 2025

3rd Qtr. 2025

 

4th Qtr.

2024

Median Home Price

Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance

Minimum Qualifying Income

Calif. Single-family home

18

17

 

16

r

$869,300

$5,330

$213,200

Calif. Condo/Townhome

28

27

 

25

r

$650,000

$3,980

$159,200

Los Angeles Metro Area

17

16

 

15

r

$830,000

$5,090

$203,600

Inland Empire

24

23

 

21

r

$595,000

$3,650

$146,000

San Francisco Bay Area

23

22

 

21

r

$1,263,900

$7,750

$310,000

United States

39

36

 

36

 

$414,900

$2,540

$101,600

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Francisco Bay Area

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alameda

22

21

 

19

r

$1,225,000

$7,510

$300,400

Contra Costa

27

26

 

25

r

$860,000

$5,270

$210,800

Marin

25

22

 

19

r

$1,527,500

$9,360

$374,400

Napa

17

16

 

18

 

$924,000

$5,660

$226,400

San Francisco

21

22

 

21

 

$1,800,000

$11,030

$441,200

San Mateo

19

18

 

17

 

$2,070,000

$12,690

$507,600

Santa Clara

21

20

 

19

r

$1,920,000

$11,770

$470,800

Solano

30

26

 

26

 

$580,000

$3,550

$142,000

Sonoma

19

19

 

19

r

$821,000

$5,030

$201,200

Southern California

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Imperial

25

26

 

29

r

$435,000

$2,670

$106,800

Los Angeles

13

12

 

12

r

$939,690

$5,760

$230,400

Orange

14

13

 

12

 

$1,396,500

$8,560

$342,400

Riverside

24

23

 

21

r

$633,580

$3,880

$155,200

San Bernardino

30

29

 

28

r

$497,000

$3,050

$122,000

San Diego

15

13

 

12

 

$994,000

$6,090

$243,600

Ventura

17

16

 

14

 

$932,500

$5,720

$228,800

Central Coast

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monterey

12

9

 

11

r

$925,000

$5,670

$226,800

San Luis Obispo

14

13

 

12

r

$905,000

$5,550

$222,000

Santa Barbara

12

12

 

11

r

$1,250,000

$7,660

$306,400

Santa Cruz

15

14

 

15

r

$1,287,500

$7,890

$315,600

Central Valley

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fresno

33

30

 

31

r

$430,000

$2,640

$105,600

Glenn

42

37

 

34

r

$342,750

$2,100

$84,000

Kern

33

31

 

30

r

$397,490

$2,440

$97,600

Kings

36

35

r

34

r

$370,000

$2,270

$90,800

Madera

35

32

 

30

 

$440,000

$2,700

$108,000

Merced

30

27

 

25

r

$420,000

$2,570

$102,800

Placer

34

31

 

31

 

$655,000

$4,010

$160,400

Sacramento

30

28

 

27

r

$539,000

$3,300

$132,000

San Benito

27

26

 

21

r

$750,000

$4,600

$184,000

San Joaquin

31

29

 

28

r

$540,000

$3,310

$132,400

Stanislaus

31

28

 

31

r

$465,000

$2,850

$114,000

Tulare

35

33

 

29

r

$381,500

$2,340

$93,600

Far North

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Butte

30

27

 

28

 

$440,000

$2,700

$108,000

Lassen

57

52

 

52

r

$229,000

$1,400

$56,000

Plumas

39

30

 

35

r

$399,500

$2,450

$98,000

Shasta

37

35

 

35

r

$370,000

$2,270

$90,800

Siskiyou

39

35

 

36

r

$302,500

$1,850

$74,000

Tehama

39

35

 

37

r

$322,000

$1,970

$78,800

Trinity

44

34

 

29

 

$250,000

$1,530

$61,200

Other Calif. Counties

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amador

38

36

 

36

r

$420,000

$2,570

$102,800

Calaveras

39

34

 

35

r

$439,000

$2,690

$107,600

Del Norte

36

34

 

33

 

$379,000

$2,320

$92,800

El Dorado

32

29

 

27

r

$675,000

$4,140

$165,600

Humboldt

30

25

 

22

r

$413,000

$2,530

$101,200

Lake

31

29

 

36

r

$332,000

$2,030

$81,200

Mariposa

29

29

 

24

r

$441,000

$2,700

$108,000

Mendocino

25

26

 

22

r

$492,500

$3,020

$120,800

Mono

10

7

 

7

r

$923,000

$5,660

$226,400

Nevada

31

30

 

30

r

$550,000

$3,370

$134,800

Sutter

31

28

 

25

r

$450,000

$2,760

$110,400

Tuolumne

43

36

 

38

r

$380,000

$2,330

$93,200

Yolo

26

25

 

24

r

$622,500

$3,820

$152,800

Yuba

29

28

 

27

 

$442,750

$2,710

$108,400

r = revised

 

Traditional Housing Affordability Indices (HAI) were calculated based on the following effective composite interest rates: 6.35% (4Qtr. 2025), 6.67% (3Qtr. 2025) and 6.76% (4Qtr. 2024).

 Article belongs to Car.org

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