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August 13, 2024
Higher home prices and elevated mortgage rates push California housing affordability to near-17-year low in second-quarter 2024, C.A.R. reports
LOS ANGELES (Aug. 13) – LOS ANGELES (Aug. 13) – Higher prices combined with elevated mortgage rates that pushed borrowing costs to all-time highs pulled California's housing affordability down to the lowest levels in nearly 17 years during the second quarter of 2024, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
Infographic: https://www.car.org/Global/Infographics/HAI-2024-Q2
Fourteen percent of the state's homebuyers could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in second-quarter 2024, down from 17 percent in the first quarter of 2024 and down from 16 percent in the second quarter of 2023, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI).
The second-quarter 2024 figure is less than a third of the affordability index peak of 56 percent in the second quarter of 2012. Despite elevated mortgage rates in the second quarter, recent signs of weakness in macroeconomic reports have pushed rates down in the past few weeks. As the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates at the September meeting increases, housing affordability in California is expected to improve in the next quarter.
C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.
A minimum annual income of $236,800 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $906,600 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the second quarter of 2024. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance (PITI) on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $5,920, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 7.10 percent. The effective composite interest rate was 6.68 percent in first-quarter 2024 and 6.61 percent in second-quarter 2023.
In the second quarter of 2024, the minimum annual income required exceeded $200,000 for the sixth time in seven quarters, setting a new record high. The monthly PITI for a typical single-family home in California also hit a record high, rising by double digits from both the previous quarter and the same quarter last year.
On a year-over-year basis, statewide home prices jumped 9.0 percent from second-quarter 2023, as competition and low inventory applied upward pressure on home prices. As the market moves past the spring home-buying season and transitions to the off season, home prices will likely decline as market competition cools and housing inventory continues to improve. A consistent drop in mortgage rates expected in the coming months will lower borrowing costs and improve affordability for the rest of the year.
The share of California households that could afford a typical condo/townhome in second-quarter 2024 fell to 22 percent, down from 24 percent recorded in the previous quarter and down from the 25 percent recorded in the second quarter of 2023. An annual income of $180,000 was required to make the monthly payment of $4,500 on the $690,000 median-priced condo/townhome in the second quarter of 2024.
Compared with California, about one-third of the nation's households could afford to purchase a $422,100 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $110,000 to make monthly payments of $2,750. Nationwide affordability was down from 36 percent a year ago.
In the second quarter of 2024, the nationwide minimum required annual income was half that of California's for the fifth consecutive quarter.
Key points from the second-quarter 2024 Housing Affordability report include:
See C.A.R.'s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with nearly 200,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
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CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
Second quarter 2024
|
2nd Qtr. 2024 |
C.A.R. Traditional Housing Affordability Index |
|||||||
|
STATE/REGION/COUNTY |
2nd Qtr. 2024 |
1st Qtr. 202 |
|
2nd Qtr. 2023 |
|
Median Home Price |
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance |
Minimum Qualifying Income |
|
Calif. Single-family homes |
14 |
17 |
|
16 |
|
$906,600 |
$5,920 |
$236,800 |
|
Calif. Condo/Townhomes |
22 |
24 |
|
25 |
|
$690,000 |
$4,500 |
$180,000 |
|
Los Angeles Metro Area |
13 |
15 |
|
17 |
|
$840,000 |
$5,480 |
$219,200 |
|
Inland Empire |
20 |
21 |
|
22 |
|
$600,000 |
$3,910 |
$156,400 |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
18 |
20 |
|
19 |
|
$1,430,000 |
$9,330 |
$373,200 |
|
United States |
33 |
37 |
|
36 |
|
$422,100 |
$2,750 |
$110,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
16 |
16 |
|
16 |
|
$1,399,500 |
$9,130 |
$365,200 |
|
Contra Costa |
21 |
25 |
|
23 |
|
$925,000 |
$6,040 |
$241,600 |
|
Marin |
16 |
18 |
|
16 |
|
$1,797,000 |
$11,730 |
$469,200 |
|
Napa |
14 |
18 |
|
19 |
|
$962,500 |
$6,280 |
$251,200 |
|
San Francisco |
19 |
20 |
|
20 |
|
$1,701,000 |
$11,100 |
$444,000 |
|
San Mateo |
16 |
17 |
|
17 |
|
$2,202,300 |
$14,370 |
$574,800 |
|
Santa Clara |
16 |
18 |
|
18 |
|
$2,008,000 |
$13,100 |
$524,000 |
|
Solano |
24 |
26 |
|
26 |
|
$600,000 |
$3,910 |
$156,400 |
|
Sonoma |
16 |
16 |
|
16 |
|
$850,000 |
$5,550 |
$222,000 |
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Imperial |
26 |
30 |
|
30 |
|
$395,000 |
$2,580 |
$103,200 |
|
Los Angeles |
13 |
14 |
|
15 |
|
$854,760 |
$5,580 |
$223,200 |
|
Orange |
11 |
11 |
|
12 |
|
$1,437,500 |
$9,380 |
$375,200 |
|
Riverside |
18 |
20 |
|
20 |
|
$650,000 |
$4,240 |
$169,600 |
|
San Bernardino |
25 |
27 |
|
30 |
|
$510,000 |
$3,330 |
$133,200 |
|
San Diego |
11 |
11 |
|
13 |
|
$1,050,000 |
$6,850 |
$274,000 |
|
Ventura |
12 |
15 |
|
14 |
|
$940,000 |
$6,130 |
$245,200 |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
8 |
11 |
|
12 |
|
$1,025,000 |
$6,690 |
$267,600 |
|
San Luis Obispo |
11 |
10 |
|
11 |
|
$889,500 |
$5,800 |
$232,000 |
|
Santa Barbara |
9 |
11 |
|
10 |
|
$1,372,500 |
$8,960 |
$358,400 |
|
Santa Cruz |
13 |
13 |
|
13 |
|
$1,375,000 |
$8,970 |
$358,800 |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
28 |
30 |
|
29 |
|
$425,000 |
$2,770 |
$110,800 |
|
Glenn |
35 |
34 |
|
32 |
|
$340,450 |
$2,220 |
$88,800 |
|
Kern |
30 |
31 |
|
31 |
|
$385,000 |
$2,510 |
$100,400 |
|
Kings |
29 |
34 |
|
32 |
|
$380,000 |
$2,480 |
$99,200 |
|
Madera |
29 |
30 |
|
31 |
|
$430,000 |
$2,810 |
$112,400 |
|
Merced |
25 |
29 |
|
31 |
|
$415,000 |
$2,710 |
$108,400 |
|
Placer |
28 |
30 |
|
29 |
|
$675,500 |
$4,410 |
$176,400 |
|
Sacramento |
24 |
26 |
|
26 |
|
$555,000 |
$3,620 |
$144,800 |
|
San Benito |
18 |
21 |
|
19 |
|
$805,000 |
$5,250 |
$210,000 |
|
San Joaquin |
24 |
26 |
|
26 |
|
$550,000 |
$3,590 |
$143,600 |
|
Stanislaus |
25 |
28 |
|
27 |
|
$489,250 |
$3,190 |
$127,600 |
|
Tulare |
30 |
33 |
|
33 |
|
$377,000 |
$2,460 |
$98,400 |
|
Far North |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Butte |
27 |
29 |
|
29 |
|
$452,470 |
$2,950 |
$118,000 |
|
Lassen |
52 |
51 |
|
52 |
|
$249,950 |
$1,630 |
$65,200 |
|
Plumas |
29 |
37 |
|
38 |
|
$426,000 |
$2,780 |
$111,200 |
|
Shasta |
33 |
37 |
|
35 |
|
$379,900 |
$2,480 |
$99,200 |
|
Siskiyou |
31 |
32 |
|
39 |
|
$332,000 |
$2,170 |
$86,800 |
|
Tehama |
34 |
39 |
|
35 |
|
$350,000 |
$2,280 |
$91,200 |
|
Trinity |
28 |
26 |
|
31 |
|
$304,600 |
$1,990 |
$79,600 |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
32 |
30 |
|
28 |
|
$437,450 |
$2,850 |
$114,000 |
|
Calaveras |
29 |
33 |
|
27 |
|
$481,000 |
$3,140 |
$125,600 |
|
Del Norte |
34 |
34 |
|
30 |
|
$345,000 |
$2,250 |
$90,000 |
|
El Dorado |
22 |
25 |
|
23 |
|
$720,000 |
$4,700 |
$188,000 |
|
Humboldt |
22 |
25 |
|
25 |
|
$445,000 |
$2,900 |
$116,000 |
|
Lake |
31 |
33 |
|
28 |
|
$345,000 |
$2,250 |
$90,000 |
|
Mariposa |
25 |
23 |
|
24 |
|
$407,780 |
$2,660 |
$106,400 |
|
Mendocino |
17 |
21 |
|
17 |
|
$525,000 |
$3,430 |
$137,200 |
|
Mono |
5 |
4 |
|
5 |
|
$1,088,190 |
$7,100 |
$284,000 |
|
Nevada |
24 |
27 |
|
25 |
|
$585,000 |
$3,820 |
$152,800 |
|
Sutter |
27 |
32 |
|
33 |
|
$440,000 |
$2,870 |
$114,800 |
|
Tuolumne |
31 |
36 |
|
32 |
|
$437,000 |
$2,850 |
$114,000 |
|
Yolo |
22 |
24 |
|
23 |
|
$640,000 |
$4,180 |
$167,200 |
|
Yuba |
25 |
26 |
|
26 |
|
$446,400 |
$2,910 |
$116,400 |
r = revised
Traditional Housing Affordability Indices (HAI) were calculated based on the following effective composite interest rates: 7.10% (2Qtr. 2024), 6.68% (1Qtr. 2023) and 6.61% (2Qtr. 2023).
Article belongs to CAR.org
Realtors across the US are bracing for a seismic shift in the way they do business. Starting August 17, new rules will roll out that overhaul the way Realtors get paid to help people buy and sell their homes.
The changes, which are part of a $418 million settlement announced in March by the powerful trade group the National Association of Realtors, eliminate informal rules that propped up the industry's traditional payment structure, where home sellers were typically on the hook to pay a 5% or 6% commission, usually split between their agent and the agent representing their home seller.
In the months since the settlement was announced, Realtors across the country have been preparing for the change, attending trainings and poring over the details of new contracts they must sign with prospective homebuyers. Some agents predict the rules will pave the way for new business models and potentially drive many full-service Realtors to leave the industry, while others are more sanguine about the impending changes.
"This is a grand social experiment in an industry at scale," Leo Pareja, CEO of eXp Realty, one of the largest real estate brokerages in the US, said. "I'm bracing my agents for what I call the 'messy middle.' I fully expect a lot of confusion."
In a statement, NAR's president, Kevin Sears, said he was confident NAR members would adapt to the changes, which industry analysts have called the biggest change in America's real estate market in a century.
"These changes help to further empower consumers with clarity and choice when buying and selling a home," Sears said. As August 17 nears, "I am confident in our members' abilities to prepare for and embrace this evolution of our industry and help to guide consumers in the new landscape."
Historically, a seller's agent charged homesellers a fee, often 5% or 6% of a home's purchase price, that was intended to be shared with the buyer's agent. That meant that homesellers could be on the hook for serious cash: A seller of a $1 million home might pay out $60,000 in commissions. Some experts have said that money was baked into homes' listing prices, inflating the price of homes for sale.
A series of lawsuits alleged this standard practice violated antitrust laws, though the NAR has long argued that the commissions were always negotiable.
Along with a monetary payout, the NAR agreed to two key rule changes as part of an agreement to settle the lawsuits. Both take effect on August 17 and are designed — in theory — to shake loose the standard way of paying out commissions.
A judge granted preliminary approval of the NAR's settlement in April, but the final approval hearing is scheduled for November 26.
The first change prohibits agents' compensation from being included on multiple listing services, which are centralized databases used by Realtors to share details about homes for sale. Compensation details can still be advertised elsewhere or communicated in person or over the phone, though.
The second change requires buyers' agents to discuss their compensation upfront. Come August 17, agents working with a prospective homebuyer must now enter into a written buyer agreement before touring a property together. This agreement is designed to inform buyers that they are responsible for paying their own Realtors if a seller chooses not to cover the cost.
However, prior to the changes, Realtors in 18 states were already required to sign buyer agency agreements. Mary Schumann, a Realtor in Minnesota, said that to her, NAR's changes seem manageable.
"I always tend to wait and see how things shake out before I panic," Schumann said. "We already do buyers agreements here, and this doesn't seem to be incredibly different."
By some estimates, real estate commissions could fall between 25% to 50%, according to a March analysis by TD Cowen Insights. This could pave the way for real estate companies with alternative business models, like flat-fee and discount brokerages, to thrive.
Shelly Cofini, the chief strategy officer at Redy, said she believed the NAR settlement would benefit her company. Redy, which operates nationwide, is a marketplace that allows real estate agents to bid on home listings, meaning agents could pay homesellers for the opportunity to represent them, cutting into their own commissions.
"This is part of this notion of shifting how real estate is always done," Cofini said. "Because agents are in control of the proposal process, they decide on the cash incentive they'll offer and they decide on the commission structure they're willing to offer."
Companies are seeking to capitalize on the impending changes in other ways, too. Flyhomes operates as a traditional real estate brokerage, but earlier this summer, the company launched an AI chatbot designed to answer questions that a homebuyer might traditionally ask their Realtor.
"Consumers don't know this is coming," Flyhomes' chief strategy officer, Adam Hopson, said of the NAR changes. "When they decide they want to buy a home and they find they have to sign a contract, they may say, 'whoa, what is this?' We think this will drive them to find information from other sources. We will be one of those sources."
Under the old standard, buyers often got representation for free, since their agent's commissions came from the homeseller's pocket.
Many Realtors who spoke to CNN said they believe the new set of rules will reward more experienced Realtors and shut out younger agents, since homebuyers may be wary of signing a legally binding agreement that ties them to a more inexperienced Realtor.
At 19, Madison Mathias, a Realtor in Chapin, South Carolina, said she has had to work overtime to dispel preconceived notions about her age to prospective clients, often re-reading contracts at night to ensure she has the details memorized.
Mathias said she thinks some Realtors will leave the industry, but she doesn't believe age will be a factor.
"I think more agents will fall off because some people don't like change," she said. "Being a new agent, I have had some people question me, but I've never had somebody not want to work with me because of my time in the business. It's all about confidence and educating yourself."
"I'm not really worried about it too much," she added.
Article belongs to CNN.com
At Bankrate we strive to help you make smarter financial decisions. While we adhere to strict , this post may contain references to products from our partners. Here's an explanation for .
Mortgage rates are much higher than homebuyers would like. Fortunately for borrowers, there are ways to set yourself up to get the best possible mortgage rate, even in this high-rate environment. Here's how to shop for the best mortgage rate for your home purchase.
As you consider your options, it's a good idea to set yourself up as best you can to ace the loan application and score the best mortgage rate. "There are three pillars: your credit score, your income (which is converted to a debt-to-income ratio) and your assets," says Josh Moffitt, president of Silverton Mortgage in Atlanta.
Ready to learn how to get the lowest interest rate on a mortgage? Follow this eight-step process.
Boosting your credit score is a great first step if you're wondering how to get a lower mortgage interest rate. A lower credit score won't automatically bar you from getting a loan, but it can make all the difference between getting the lowest possible rate and being hit with more costly borrowing terms.
"A credit score is always an important factor in determining risk," says Valerie Saunders, president of the National Association of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB). "A lender is going to use the score as a benchmark in deciding a person's ability to repay the debt. The higher the score, the higher the likelihood that the borrower will not default."
To be considered for a conventional mortgage, you'll generally need a score of 620 or higher. However, the best mortgage rates go to borrowers with the highest credit scores (usually 740 or above). In general, the more confident the lender is in your ability to repay on time, the lower the interest rate it'll offer.
To improve your score, pay your bills on time and pay down or eliminate those credit card balances. If you must carry a balance, make sure it's no more than 20 percent to 30 percent of your available credit limit. Also, check your credit score and report regularly and look for any mistakes. If you find any errors, correct them before applying for a mortgage.
You're more attractive to lenders if you can demonstrate at least two years of steady employment and earnings, especially from the same employer. Be prepared to show pay stubs from at least the 30-day period before you apply for your mortgage and W-2s from the past two years. If you earn bonuses or commissions, you'll need to provide proof of that, as well.
It can be more difficult to qualify if you're self-employed or your pay is coming from multiple part-time jobs, but not impossible. If you're self-employed, you might need to furnish business records, such as P&L statements, in addition to tax returns to round out your mortgage application.
What if you're a graduate just starting your career, or back in the workforce after time away? Lenders can usually verify your employment if you have a formal job offer in hand, so long as the offer includes your income. The same applies if you're currently employed but have a new job lined up. Lenders might flag your application if you're switching to a completely new industry, however, so keep that in mind if you're making a major change.
Gaps in your work history won't necessarily disqualify you, but how long those gaps are matters. If you were unemployed for a relatively short time due to illness, for instance, you might be able to explain the gap to your lender. However, it can be tough to get approved if you've been unemployed for longer — like six months or more.
Putting more money down can help you get a lower mortgage rate, particularly if you have enough liquid cash to fund a 20 percent down payment. Of course, lenders accept lower down payments, but less than 20 percent usually means you'll have to pay private mortgage insurance (PMI). PMI costs on average between 0.46 percent and 1.50 percent of the original loan amount annually. The sooner you can pay down your mortgage to less than 80 percent of the total value of your home, the sooner you can get rid of mortgage insurance, reducing your monthly bill.
If you're a first-time homebuyer and can't cover a 20 percent down payment, there are specific loans, grants and programs designed to help you purchase a property. Eligibility varies by program but is often based on things like your income and whether you're a first-time homebuyer.
Your debt-to-income (DTI) ratio compares how much money you owe to how much money you make. Specifically, it compares your total monthly debt payments against your gross monthly income.
A popular rule of thumb for lenders is to avoid mortgages that will require a payment of more than 28 percent of your gross monthly income. Your overall DTI should remain below 36 percent.
So, if you make $5,000 per month, you'll want a mortgage payment of no more than $1,400 ($5,000 x 0.28) and want to ensure your mortgage payment plus other debt payments remains below $1,800 ($5,000 x 0.36).
The maximum DTI for a conventional loan is 45 percent, and the maximum for FHA loans is 43 percent. However, there can be some exceptions if you meet certain requirements, such as having significant savings.
If you're struggling to get out of debt, there are several techniques that can help you pay it down quicker, including the avalanche and snowball methods.
A debt-to-income, or DTI, ratio is calculated by dividing your monthly debt payments by your monthly gross income.
Calculate your debt-to-income ratioIf you think you've found your long-term home and have good cash flow, consider a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage instead of the traditional 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. You'll pay more each month, but pay off your home sooner. Plus, you'll pay less in interest since interest rates on 15-year mortgages fall below those of other mortgage options. You can also go for a 15-year term if you're refinancing your current mortgage.
Alternatively, while rates are high, you might want to consider an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). With these types of loans, you'll start with a fixed rate for a set time (often five or seven years), which is typically lower than what you'd get with a fixed-rate mortgage. After this period ends, the loan switches to an adjustable rate (which means your rate can go up and down) for the remainder of the term. When that happens, or whenever rates fall, you could refinance an ARM loan into a fixed-rate mortgage.
Finally, you can see if you qualify for government-insured or -guaranteed loans, such as:
If you're willing to pay a fee, you can buy your way to a lower interest rate using mortgage points. Each point costs 1 percent of your mortgage amount and typically reduces your interest rate by 0.25 percent. You can think of mortgage points as a form of prepaid interest.
For example, let's say that you have a $400,000 home loan with a 7 percent interest rate. If you want a lower rate, you could buy a mortgage point for $4,000 and knock your rate down to 6.75 percent.
However, buying mortgage points isn't right for everyone. Recouping the upfront costs takes around five years (or more), so this strategy isn't ideal if you plan on selling within a few years.
Before locking in with a lender, search for any discounts or programs you may qualify for to help reduce your costs. For instance, many state and local governments offer reduced-rate mortgages or down payment assistance programs for qualifying first-time homebuyers. Also, many banks offer rate discounts based on whether you already hold accounts with them. Lenders may offer other temporary promotions in the form of closing cost credits or points on your loan.
When shopping for the best mortgage rate, even for a refinance, do the necessary research to make sure you're getting the best deal. Don't accept the first rate you're quoted. It pays to shop around, a recent Freddie Mac study found. For a $300,000, 30-year mortgage, getting a 6 percent rate instead of a 6.5 percent one, for example, could save you nearly $1,200 a year, and nearly $6,000 over five years.
Check with your own bank or credit union but also talk to multiple mortgage lenders in person and explore options online. As you get more quotes, you'll notice that — even if the interest rates are comparable — these lenders' offers come with different fees, closing costs, private mortgage insurance premiums and more. By shopping around, you can choose the offer with the most favorable terms.
"Shop and compare based on the loan estimates received," says Saunders. "You wouldn't normally purchase a car without test driving it first. Test drive your loan before proceeding with your purchase."
The best mortgage lenders based on affordability, availability and borrower experience.
Learn moreSometimes the closing process takes several weeks, during which rates can fluctuate. After you sign the home purchase agreement and have secured your loan, ask your lender to lock in your rate. The service sometimes comes with a fee, but it often pays for itself, especially in the current volatile, high-rate environment.
You know how to shop around for mortgage rates — but how much could it really save you? Check out the chart below to see how the savings can add up on a $350,000 home loan with a 30-year fixed mortgage.
| Mortgage rate | Monthly mortgage payment* | Total cost of the loan |
|---|---|---|
| *Includes only principal and interest | ||
| 8% | $2,568 | $924,543 |
| 7.75% | $2,507 | $902,679 |
| 7.5% | $2,447 | $881,010 |
| 7.25% | $2,388 | $859,542 |
| 7% | $2,329 | $838,281 |
As you can see, even a modest rate reduction could mean tens of thousands of dollars in your pocket over the life of your mortgage. By following the steps above, you can be well-positioned to secure the best possible rate and maximize your savings.
Mortgage rates change often based on a few factors, including:
Want to stay up-to-date with rate updates and get more tips on how to shop for mortgage rates? Get the latest with Bankrate's daily mortgage news stories and weekly analyses.
Now that you know how to get the best mortgage rate, it's time to choose the best loan offer and rate and apply for the loan. Here is an overview of what you can expect during this process:
As you near your closing date, you'll receive a closing disclosure with the finalized loan terms, including your interest rate, and closing costs. Be sure the rate in this document matches the figures you were originally quoted. Keep in mind rate locks usually only apply for a set time, so it's best to work with your lender to avoid delays on the road to closing.
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