Strong wage growth and steady home prices buoy California housing affordability, C.A.R. reports
Twenty-eight regions see improvement from previous quarter,
with six of nine Bay Area counties posting higher
LOS ANGELES (May 15) – Higher wages and lower seasonal home prices combined to push California's housing affordability higher in the first quarter of 2018, compared to the previous quarter, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.
The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in first-quarter 2018 edged up to 31 percent from 29 percent in the fourth quarter of 2017 but was down from 32 percent in the first quarter a year ago, according to C.A.R.'s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). This is the 20th consecutive quarter that the index has been below 40 percent. California's housing affordability index hit a peak of 56 percent in the first quarter of 2012.
C.A.R.'s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for homebuyers in the state.
A minimum annual income of $111,500 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $538,640 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the first quarter of 2018. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $2,790, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.44 percent. The effective composite interest rate in fourth-quarter 2017 was 4.17 percent and 4.36 percent in the first quarter of 2017.
Condominiums and townhomes also were more affordable in first-quarter 2018 compared to the previous quarter with 39 percent of California households earning the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $449,720 median-priced condominium/townhome, up from 38 percent in the fourth quarter. An annual income of $93,090 was required to make monthly payments of $2,330.
Key points from the first-quarter 2018 Housing Affordability report include:
Housing Affordability slides (click link to open)
Affordability peak versus current
Annual required income peak vs. current
Monthly PITI peak versus current
Affordability by region peak versus current
Housing affordability by county
See C.A.R.'s historical housing affordability data.
See first-time buyer housing affordability data.
Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
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CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
First Quarter 2018
|
C.A.R. Region |
Housing |
Median Home |
Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance |
Minimum |
|
Calif. Single-family home |
31 |
$ 538,640 |
$ 2,790 |
$ 111,500 |
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
39 |
$ 449,720 |
$ 2,330 |
$ 93,090 |
|
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area |
32 |
$ 500,000 |
$ 2,590 |
$ 103,500 |
|
Inland Empire |
43 |
$ 350,000 |
$ 1,810 |
$ 72,450 |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
23 |
$ 900,000 |
$ 4,660 |
$ 186,300 |
|
United States |
57 |
$ 245,500 |
$ 1,270 |
$ 50,820 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
22 |
$ 875,000 |
$ 4,530 |
$ 181,130 |
|
Contra-Costa (Central County) |
36 |
$ 615,000 |
$ 3,180 |
$ 127,310 |
|
Marin |
18 |
$ 1,360,000 |
$ 7,040 |
$ 281,520 |
|
Napa |
28 |
$ 679,000 |
$ 3,510 |
$ 140,550 |
|
San Francisco |
15 |
$ 1,610,000 |
$ 8,330 |
$ 333,270 |
|
San Mateo |
15 |
$ 1,575,050 |
$ 8,150 |
$ 326,040 |
|
Santa Clara |
17 |
$ 1,373,000 |
$ 7,110 |
$ 284,210 |
|
Solano |
42 |
$ 430,000 |
$ 2,230 |
$ 89,010 |
|
Sonoma |
21 |
$ 681,000 |
$ 3,520 |
$ 140,970 |
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
28 |
$ 545,540 |
$ 2,820 |
$ 112,930 |
|
Orange County |
21 |
$ 810,000 |
$ 4,190 |
$ 167,670 |
|
Riverside County |
39 |
$ 397,000 |
$ 2,050 |
$ 82,180 |
|
San Bernardino |
52 |
$ 278,500 |
$ 1,440 |
$ 57,650 |
|
San Diego |
26 |
$ 610,000 |
$ 3,160 |
$ 126,270 |
|
Ventura |
31 |
$ 635,500 |
$ 3,290 |
$ 131,550 |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
23 |
$ 590,000 |
$ 3,050 |
$ 122,130 |
|
San Luis Obispo |
25 |
$ 596,400 |
$ 3,090 |
$ 123,460 |
|
Santa Barbara |
22 |
$ 675,000 |
$ 3,490 |
$ 139,730 |
|
Santa Cruz |
15 |
$ 850,000 |
$ 4,400 |
$ 175,950 |
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
49 |
$ 258,000 |
$ 1,340 |
$ 53,410 |
|
Kern (Bakersfield) |
56 |
$ 231,500 |
$ 1,200 |
$ 47,920 |
|
Kings County |
52 |
$ 232,000 |
$ 1,200 |
$ 48,020 |
|
Madera |
50 |
$ 255,000 |
$ 1,320 |
$ 52,790 |
|
Merced |
43 |
$ 262,500 |
$ 1,360 |
$ 54,340 |
|
Placer County |
44 |
$ 465,000 |
$ 2,410 |
$ 96,260 |
|
Sacramento |
44 |
$ 355,000 |
$ 1,840 |
$ 73,490 |
|
San Benito |
32 |
$ 560,000 |
$ 2,900 |
$ 115,920 |
|
San Joaquin |
40 |
$ 362,500 |
$ 1,880 |
$ 75,040 |
|
Stanislaus |
48 |
$ 300,000 |
$ 1,550 |
$ 62,100 |
|
Tulare |
50 |
$ 225,000 |
$ 1,160 |
$ 46,580 |
|
Other Calif. Counties |
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
45 |
$ 330,750 |
$ 1,710 |
$ 68,470 |
|
Butte |
41 |
$ 307,000 |
$ 1,590 |
$ 63,550 |
|
Calaveras |
46 |
$ 315,000 |
$ 1,630 |
$ 65,210 |
|
El Dorado |
42 |
$ 489,000 |
$ 2,530 |
$ 101,220 |
|
Humboldt |
36 |
$ 300,050 |
$ 1,550 |
$ 62,110 |
|
Lake County |
40 |
$ 266,450 |
$ 1,380 |
$ 55,160 |
|
Lassen |
68 |
$ 171,000 |
$ 880 |
$ 35,400 |
|
Mariposa |
44 |
$ 292,500 |
$ 1,510 |
$ 60,550 |
|
Mendocino |
25 |
$ 412,500 |
$ 2,130 |
$ 85,390 |
|
Mono |
8 |
$ 780,000 |
$ 4,040 |
$ 161,460 |
|
Nevada |
37 |
$ 400,000 |
$ 2,070 |
$ 82,800 |
|
Plumas |
NA |
$ NA |
$ NA |
$ NA |
|
Shasta |
49 |
$ 249,900 |
$ 1,290 |
$ 51,730 |
|
Siskiyou |
48 |
$ 210,000 |
$ 1,090 |
$ 43,470 |
|
Sutter |
49 |
$ 282,700 |
$ 1,460 |
$ 58,520 |
|
Tehama |
51 |
$ 219,000 |
$ 1,130 |
$ 45,330 |
|
Tuolumne |
49 |
$ 280,000 |
$ 1,450 |
$ 57,960 |
|
Yolo |
41 |
$ 400,000 |
$ 2,070 |
$ 82,800 |
|
Yuba |
49 |
$ 269,950 |
$ 1,400 |
$ 55,880 |
NA = Not available
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index
First Quarter 2018
|
STATE/REGION/COUNTY |
Q1 2018 |
Q4 2017 |
|
Q1 2017 |
|
|
Calif. Single-family home |
31 |
29 |
|
32 |
|
|
Calif. Condo/Townhome |
39 |
38 |
r |
40 |
|
|
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area |
32 |
31 |
|
33 |
|
|
Inland Empire |
43 |
43 |
|
44 |
r |
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
23 |
21 |
|
25 |
|
|
United States |
57 |
56 |
|
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Francisco Bay Area |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alameda |
22 |
20 |
|
21 |
|
|
Contra-Costa (Central County) |
36 |
34 |
|
37 |
|
|
Marin |
18 |
18 |
|
18 |
|
|
Napa |
28 |
25 |
|
24 |
|
|
San Francisco |
15 |
12 |
|
13 |
|
|
San Mateo |
15 |
14 |
|
15 |
|
|
Santa Clara |
17 |
15 |
|
19 |
|
|
Solano |
42 |
44 |
|
45 |
|
|
Sonoma |
21 |
23 |
|
25 |
|
|
Southern California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles |
28 |
25 |
|
29 |
|
|
Orange County |
21 |
21 |
|
21 |
|
|
Riverside County |
39 |
38 |
|
39 |
|
|
San Bernardino |
52 |
50 |
|
52 |
|
|
San Diego |
26 |
26 |
|
28 |
|
|
Ventura |
31 |
26 |
|
28 |
r |
|
Central Coast |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monterey |
23 |
21 |
|
23 |
|
|
San Luis Obispo |
25 |
24 |
|
26 |
|
|
Santa Barbara |
22 |
18 |
|
14 |
|
|
Santa Cruz |
15 |
17 |
|
17 |
|
|
Central Valley |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fresno |
49 |
46 |
|
48 |
|
|
Kern (Bakersfield) |
56 |
54 |
|
55 |
|
|
Kings County |
52 |
52 |
|
53 |
|
|
Madera |
50 |
49 |
r |
47 |
|
|
Merced |
43 |
48 |
|
50 |
|
|
Placer County |
44 |
44 |
|
45 |
|
|
Sacramento |
44 |
43 |
|
46 |
|
|
San Benito |
32 |
31 |
|
32 |
|
|
San Joaquin |
40 |
41 |
|
45 |
|
|
Stanislaus |
48 |
45 |
|
48 |
|
|
Tulare |
50 |
52 |
|
52 |
|
|
Other Counties in California |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amador |
45 |
44 |
|
47 |
|
|
Butte |
41 |
39 |
|
41 |
|
|
Calaveras |
46 |
50 |
|
NA |
|
|
El Dorado |
42 |
42 |
|
43 |
|
|
Humboldt |
36 |
34 |
|
36 |
|
|
Lake County |
40 |
36 |
|
43 |
|
|
Lassen |
68 |
65 |
|
NA |
|
|
Mariposa |
44 |
48 |
|
46 |
r |
|
Mendocino |
25 |
28 |
|
26 |
|
|
Mono |
8 |
19 |
|
NA |
|
|
Nevada |
37 |
39 |
|
NA |
|
|
Plumas |
NA |
45 |
|
NA |
|
|
Shasta |
49 |
47 |
|
49 |
|
|
Siskiyou |
48 |
51 |
|
48 |
|
|
Sutter |
49 |
52 |
|
53 |
|
|
Tehama |
51 |
56 |
|
55 |
|
|
Tuolumne |
49 |
48 |
|
46 |
r |
|
Yolo |
41 |
34 |
|
37 |
|
|
Yuba |
49 |
42 |
|
44 |
|
r = revised
NA = Not available
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